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It's so cliche to say this, but I'll say it nevertheless. You cannot predict tournament football, but we're going to give it a good go here, and I think this pick is not only at a fantastic price but also has a terrific chance of happening.
England's two most important central players are fouled around four times per game, and Van Dijk commits 2.4 fouls per game on average. Therefore, this price being above Evens is ludicrous to me, and I'm looking to take advantage.
Virgil Van Dijk Over 1.5 Fouls in the Game - 13/8 at QuinnBet
Following the victory over Switzerland, I don't think there can be any questioning of Jordan Pickford's status at the top of England goalkeepers. The Everton goalkeeper has been sublime for his country for years now, and another penalty success only further solidifies that.
He is pivotal at club level, and even better for the Three Lions, and you can certainly argue he has been England's Player of The Tournament so far, given he has not put a foot wrong, and has led when others have trailed behind.
The Netherlands have around four shots on target per game, and I do not see them beating Pickford easily and can see the shot-stopper making at least three saves in this clash. If England make it to the final, it will be largely on the goalkeeper.
Raving about Pickford on the first tip to then predict him to concede is definitely one way to transition things, but there is a reason why the Netherlands have the third most goals in the tournament so far.
In 60% of England and the Netherlands' games so far both teams have scored, and I think this trend will continue. There are two fantastic goalkeepers for both sides, but this is a semi-final, and I think there is a good chance of goals.
As you have read already, this is my 'Banker' for the fixture, and I feel really confident of this coming in. Between Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham, they draw around four fouls per game, and have done so throughout the tournament, and I can see both being able to lure Virgil Van Dijk into a tackle.
Furthermore, given what is at stake for both teams, I can see the fixture being slightly more combative, which could result in some nice battles in central areas, which I think Van Dijk will be at the heart of.
Throughout the tournament, I have had a lot of success with the corner-betting markets, and whilst it has slowed in recent fixtures slightly, we still have a good record through the tournament, and I think we can add another victory here.
Both teams are fond of a corner, but they are both fantastic at preventing them, with England being slightly better than their opponents in this respect. The Dutch have conceded 4.4 corners per game in Euro 2024, whereas England have averaged 1.6 corners per game conceded.
When picking my 'Banker' for today's fixture, I was between this selection and the Van Dijk pick, however, I just slightly prefer the other selection to this, but I'll detail why.
So far at Euro 2024, Reijnders has only managed around a shot per game, and suggesting this will be one where that number increases is potentially off-putting. However, the Dutchman is capable of shooting from a distance, and with England likely to limit spaces, I like the idea of this pick.
The Three Lions are susceptible to attempts from range, and should the opportunity arise to do so, I think Reijnders could cause Pickford some issues from distance. Importantly, though, we are not looking for On Target attempts, but rather just attempts, which helps our odds nicely.
The other semi-final was between two sides who have enjoyed tangible success in recent years, whereas the Netherlands vs. England is a chance to write a new history for two teams who have struggled for trophies in recent years.
Now, that chance must be taken by one side.
I elected the Netherlands to be one of my outsiders to win the tournament, and you can find my reasoning here, so far, they are putting up a fantastic case for themselves, and I, for one, am getting quite excited about it.
Until now, though, that is. I'd much rather they were on the other side of the competition, but they are where they are and have done so brilliantly.
Of course, there have been bumps in the road, notably last time out against Türkiye and against Austria, but barring that, they have been brilliant for the majority of the tournament. They have been a source of goals, scoring the third most in the tournament so far.
Perhaps, there can be questions about the defensive sharpness of the team, and whilst they have kept a clean sheet against France, they have conceded in three of the five games in the tournament, and England could look to make a meal of this.
To say that the Dutch have pretty much recreated their midfield as the tournament began, is an understatement, as three of their key players were forced to miss the tournament through injury. However, they have gotten better with each game and look a much better outfit than they did at the start.
A very fluid team who will create several issues for their opposition, it can be argued that there have never been any challenges like this for England, and for a side who have seemingly struggled to find their feet this tournament, the Dutch outfit could be their nightmare come 11 PM on Wednesday.
At 23/10, the Netherlands come into this fixture as the 'Underdogs', but whether they are credible of that name is questionable, given they are not a minnow compared to the Three Lions, and you can find that price with most of the UK's best football bookmakers.
Possible Netherlands lineup vs. England (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake; Schouten, Reijnders; Bergwijn, Simons, Gakpo; Depay
England is a nation of pessimists, but even for us, this goes above and beyond. The Three Lions have finally overcome their issue with penalties it seems, and the game against Switzerland further proved this, but there is now a new fear.
It is not a fear of a part of a game, perhaps, but rather a game itself. England, one of the favourites for the tournament, are a nation controlled by a destiny that has not been reached yet. Maybe there is a fear of it, maybe there is a fear of failing to earn it. However, the problem exists, and it is so clear to see that this is the case.
So far, England have not been convincing in the slightest, and their conviction has fallen further in the knockout stage of the competition. In both games, the Three Lions have failed to do the job in 90 minutes, and whether that will be the case here remains to be seen.
As a Nation, the talk has been about England's big players, and whether they have shown up, and with each game, there is a fading optimism that this upcoming game is the one. Harry Kane has two goals, but he looks a completely different striker to what England fans have loved for years.
Ahead of this clash against the Netherlands, whoever you ask, there is resistance to drop into the confidence that it might Come Home, even if they are just two fixtures away from it happening. Of course, they cannot be blamed for this, it is only natural, and you would be understood if you were unsure.
The competition is set to be Gareth Southgate's last, and he has come so close to delivering success on so many occasions, they are so close to getting another chance, whether they will take it, is up to him and his tactics now.
If you are looking to side with England, who are the favourites for this fixture, you can do so at odds of 7/4 with most UK bookies.
Possible England lineup vs. Netherlands (3-4-2-1): Pickford; Walker, Stones, Guehi; Saka, Rice, Mainoo, Trippier; Foden, Bellingham; Kane
Accredited football journalist with a focus on Italian football, working for the likes of SempreMilan and Serie A Total. As an avid punter, I enjoy browsing sportsbooks for the best-value bets.