Crystal Palace secured the FA Cup title after an impressive 1-0 win against Manchester City at Wembley.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability for the remaining teams in the FA Cup, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 9/2 | 18.18% |
| Man City | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Arsenal | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Chelsea | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Newcastle | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Aston Villa | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Man Utd | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Tottenham | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Nottingham Forest | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Bournemouth | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Brighton | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Crystal Palace | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Everton | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Fulham | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| West Ham | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Brentford | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Wolverhampton | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Leeds | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Burnley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sunderland | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ipswich | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Southampton | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Birmingham | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Bristol City | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Coventry | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Leicester | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Middlesbrough | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Norwich | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Sheffield Utd | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| West Brom | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Wrexham | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Blackburn | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Derby | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Millwall | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Stoke | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Swansea | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Watford | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Charlton | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Hull | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Luton | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Oxford | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Plymouth Argyle | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Portsmouth | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Preston | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| QPR | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Blackpool | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Bolton | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Cardiff City | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Huddersfield | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Barnsley | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Braintree Town | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Chelmsford | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Colchester | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Hemel Hempstead | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Leyton Orient | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Reading | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Rotherham | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| South Shields | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Stockport | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Wigan | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Wycombe | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Bradford City | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Peterborough United | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Doncaster | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Lincoln | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Mansfield | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Port Vale | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Stevenage | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| AFC Wimbledon | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Bristol Rovers | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Burton | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Chesterfield | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Exeter | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Gillingham | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| MK Dons | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Northampton | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Notts County | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Salford City Fc | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Southend | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Walsall | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| York City | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Hartlepool | 4000/1 | 0.02% |
| Scunthorpe | 4000/1 | 0.02% |
| Sutton United | 4000/1 | 0.02% |
| Darlington | 4500/1 | 0.02% |
| Barnet | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Cambridge | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Crawley | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Crewe | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Grimsby | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Oldham | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Shrewsbury | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Swindon | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Tranmere | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Accrington | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
| Barrow | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
| Bromley | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
| Cheltenham | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
| Fleetwood | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
| Harrogate Town | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
| Newport County | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
As of 25 October 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to win the FA Cup is Liverpool, best priced at 9/2 with BetVictor.
The odds mean that the probability for Liverpool to win is 18.18%.
Below is a list of the last 10 FA Cup winners. We have only included the past ten seasons to make it relevant enough to users betting on it this season.
| Season | FA Cup Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Crystal Palace |
| 2023-24 | Manchester United |
| 2022-23 | Manchester City |
| 2021-22 | Liverpool |
| 2020-21 | Leicester City |
| 2019-20 | Arsenal |
| 2018-19 | Manchester City |
| 2017-18 | Chelsea |
| 2016-17 | Arsenal |
| 2015-16 | Manchester United |
| 2014-15 | Arsenal |