With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will win the Bundesliga, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Bayern Munich | 1/9 | 90.00% |
Bayer Leverkusen | 11/1 | 8.33% |
RB Leipzig | 28/1 | 3.45% |
Borussia Dortmund | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Eintracht Frankfurt | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Vfb Stuttgart | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Borussia Mgladbach | 750/1 | 0.13% |
Union Berlin | 750/1 | 0.13% |
Werder Bremen | 750/1 | 0.13% |
SC Freiburg | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Mainz | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Wolfsburg | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Augsburg | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
TSG Hoffenheim | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
Heidenheim | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
St Pauli | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
Bochum | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
Holstein Kiel | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
As of 21 November 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win the Bundesliga is Bayern Munich, best priced at 1/9 with Betway.
The odds mean that the probability for Bayern Munich to win is 90.00%.
The Bundesliga is a tough league to call because it is so commonly a one, Bayern Munich-shaped, horse race. Last season broke that trend with Leverkusen winning the league unbeaten with Xabi Alonso at the helm, and perhaps, this could bring the German top flight into a new era.
In recent memory, the league has normally been quite easy to call and this season, you could argue that three teams have a real chance of winning the Bundesliga title. Those are Bayern Munich - who are the bookmakers' favourites, Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund.
Starting with the 'favourites', Bayern have recruited very well and with Vincent Kompany at the helm, the Bavarian side will be hoping he can mould the side into a winning side once more. In terms of recruitment, the additions of Michael Olise and Joao Palhinha are phenomenal.
They have not lost any key players - Matthijs de Ligt and Noussair Mazraoui were deemed surplus to requirements - and some other nice additions have been made, so they should be right up there for the title.
Next, you have Leverkusen, and I think Die Werkself are my pick if I had to choose one. After retaining Xabi Alonso - which is arguably their biggest 'thing' of the summer - they have only added quality to a side which stormed the league last year.
The additions of Martin Terrier and Aleix Garcia are brilliant, and they instantly cause an impact on the pitch. Furthermore, at the time of writing this, they have retained all their key players and I cannot understand why they do not have a lower price in the market.
Finally, we have Borussia Dortmund, and whilst they will definitely be in contention for the title, I don't think they have the credentials to match the other two teams. BVB have undergone a renovation this summer, losing Mats Hummels, Marco Reus and their coach, Edin Terzic.
Whilst they have made some good signings this summer, I don't know if it will be enough to bridge the gap to the title. Ultimately, that explains their price in the market.
In addition to getting showered with beer and lifting the prestigious Bundesliga Meisterschale, known as the Bundesliga Shield in English, more prize money is also awarded to the title winner. Furthermore, and perhaps above all, the Bundesliga title winner will also be seeded in the first pot for the Champions League group stage draw, which usually ensures an easier group.
The 2024/25 edition of the Bundesliga should be a great spectacle to watch. Bayern Munich are keen on getting back to the top, with Vincent Kompany in charge, while Xabi Alonso decided to stay at Bayer Leverkusen despite heavy interest from abroad. We could be in for a great title battle, in other words.
Below is a list of the previous Bundesliga winners, from the year 2000 and onwards.
Season | Club | Points |
---|---|---|
2000-01 | Bayern Munich | 63 |
2001-02 | Borussia Dortmund | 70 |
2002-03 | Bayern Munich | 75 |
2003-04 | Werder Bremen | 74 |
2004-05 | Bayern Munich | 77 |
2005-06 | Bayern Munich | 75 |
2006-07 | Stuttgart | 70 |
2007-08 | Bayern Munich | 76 |
2008-09 | Wolfsburg | 69 |
2009-10 | Bayern Munich | 70 |
2010-11 | Borussia Dortmund | 75 |
2011-12 | Borussia Dortmund | 81 |
2012-13 | Bayern Munich | 91 |
2013-14 | Bayern Munich | 90 |
2014-15 | Bayern Munich | 79 |
2015-16 | Bayern Munich | 88 |
2016-17 | Bayern Munich | 82 |
2017-18 | Bayern Munich | 84 |
2018-19 | Bayern Munich | 78 |
2019-20 | Bayern Munich | 82 |
2020-21 | Bayern Munich | 78 |
2021-22 | Bayern Munich | 77 |
2022-23 | Bayern Munich | 71 |
2023-24 | Bayer Leverkusen | 90 |
Below is a list of the clubs with the most Bundesliga titles in the competition's entire history.
Club | Bundesliga Titles | Seasons |
---|---|---|
Bayern Munich | 33 | 1932, 1968–69, 1971–72, 1972–73, 1973–74, 1979–80, 1980–81, 1984–85, 1985–86, 1986–87, 1988–89, 1989–90, 1993–94, 1996–97, 1998–99, 1999–2000, 2000–01, 2002–03, 2004–05, 2005–06, 2007–08, 2009–10, 2012–13, 2013–14, 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2019–20, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23 |
FC Nürnberg | 9 | 1920, 1921, 1924, 1925, 1927, 1936, 1948, 1961, 1967–68 |
Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 1956, 1957, 1963, 1994–95, 1995–96, 2001–02, 2010–11, 2011–12 |
Schalke 04 | 7 | 1934, 1935, 1937, 1939, 1940, 1942, 1958 |
Hamburger SV | 6 | 1923, 1928, 1960, 1978–79, 1981–82, 1982–83 |