PDC World Darts Championship: Day 11 Betting Tips - Evening Session

James Hubbard BL style
James Hubbard Published: 28/12/2024

Onto the evening session on day 11 of the World Championship and we’re in for a real treat tonight. All eyes will be on the teenage sensation Luke Littler this evening, as he returns to the Palace for his next game against the experienced Ian White.

‘The Nuke’ showed some real emotion in his post-match interview on stage after admitting he felt nervous and under pressure which wasn't nice to see.

I’m sure this evening he will feel much more comfortable now he’s had a game up on that stage again and I think we could be in for a statement performance from the young man.

‘Hollywood’ Chris Dobey has the Premier League on his mind but has a very tough opponent in Josh Rock. That match has the potential to be one of the ties of the Third Round.

Finally, 3x World Champion, Michael Van Gerwen continues his quest for another world crown and faces the experienced Irishman, Brendan Dolan.

James Hubbard's PDC World Darts Championship Day 11 (Evening session)

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Chris Dobey vs Josh Rock

  • Chris Dobey Most 180s and Win the Match: 6/4 at Bet365
  • Chris Dobey to average 94.5 or more: 4/5 Bet365

Chris Dobey was fabulous once again in his opening-round match at the World Championship. He beat Alexander Merkx 3-1 with 6 180s and a very respectable 95.62 average.

‘Hollywood’ has had a magnificent season on the pro tour this season, winning 3 Players Championship events and £98,000 in prize money, leading to him entering the Players Championship Finals in Minehead as the number 1 seed.

He’s ranked 4th in the averages over the last 12 months 97.41 and although Dobey hasn't had the greatest of years in TV majors, but he's proved his pedigree at the World Championships with back to back Quarterfinals in the last 2 years.

First-round losses at the World Grand Prix, European Championship and Players Championship Finals certainly won't do his Premier League aspirations much good but another great run at Ally Pally may well see him sneak in.

Josh Rock was far from convincing in his opening round win against Rhys Griffin. He averaged 87.13 in a 3-0 victory but until the last set he was averaging around 80 and looked very uncomfortable.

It was a strange performance after he seemingly looked in great form after recently winning a Players Championship floor event in October.

‘Rocky’ has really struggled in the TV Majors this season and has lost in the first round four times, including failing to get out of the group stage at the Grand Slam.

He did prove himself to still be capable of winning on stage though after he won his first European Tour title at the Dutch Darts Masters earlier in the year.

I think personally we can dismiss Dobey’s recent TV form because he always seems to be very impressive at Alexandra Palace and should have too much experience for Rock, especially as he knows how it feels to go deep in this tournament.

I don't think it will be completely straightforward though, and Rock could well cause Dobey problems, but he needs to massively improve from his first match against Rhys Griffin.

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Michael van Gerwen vs Brendan Dolan

  • Michael Van Gerwen to win 4-0: 12/5 at BetMGM
  • Michael Van Gerwen Most 180s, Highest Checkout & Win: 6/5 at BetVictor

Michael van Gerwen looked back to his brilliant best at times in his first match and if it wasn't for losing his concentration and going off the boil in set 2, he would have probably laid down a marker to the rest of the field and averaged over 100.

He was a convincing 3-0 winner against James Hurrell with a 94.85 average,50% checkout rate and hit 5 180s.

I do worry slightly about the Dutchman's throwing action nowadays because at times it looks a little awkward but I guess time moves on and throws evolve, but he’s nowhere near as smooth as he used to be.

Amazingly though he's still an elite player even with his change of action, but he is currently nowhere near the standard of Littler and Humprhies and he won't like that one bit.

Of course, he’s not as dominant as he used to be and it's probably a long shot that he ever will be again, especially because of the standard of play nowadays.

But ‘Mighty Mike’ will always remain a threat and I think you would be silly to write the great man off.

Michael Van Gerwen came into this year’s World Championship with plenty of question marks over his form. In the last 4 TV Majors, he has failed to progress past the second round, including first-round losses at the Grand Prix, and Players Championship Finals and failed to get through the group stage of the Grand Slam.

It also doesn't help that he's only won two Major titles in the last 2 years including 0 so far this season. I think we all need to remember though how capable he is, he’s won 157 PDC tournaments in his career which is absolutely ridiculous, so he could spark into life at any time.

Brendan Dolan surprised me in his first game because he has come into this year's World Championship in no form whatsoever. He beat Lok-Yin Lee 3-0 with a 92.02 average and hit 5 180s in a very solid performance.

‘The History Maker’ is making his 17th appearance at the PDC World Championships and had a great run to the Quarter Final last year, beating Gerwyn Price and Gary Anderson on route.

He does however seem to be slightly on the slide and comes into this year's tournament only having won 8 of his last 32 matches on Tour before his win here.

He’s also struggled on TV this year with first-round exits at the Matchplay, Grand Prix and Players Championship Finals. He also averaged just 78.46 in a 6-2 defeat to Martin Schindler in Minehead.

I personally thought MVG looked really comfortable and focused in his first match here and looks as though he’s really up for it this year.

‘Mighty Mike’ may have lost his fear factor from other players but as soon as the Dutchman clicks into gear again he’s going to cause everyone problems and I really don't think it's far away.

I believe he is going to put in a real big performance this evening and will be far too strong for the Northern Irishman.

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Luke Littler vs Ian White

  • Luke Littler to win 4-0: 5/6 at Betfair
  • Ian White to average over 91.5: 10/11 at Bet365

Luke Littler was once again extremely impressive in his opening game at this year's World Championship. He did look a little nervous early on and struggled to get settled but when he did he was extraordinary.

He beat Ryan Meikle 3-1 with a 100.85 average including an incredible world record set average of 140.91 in set 4 in 11,10 and 11 darts.

Littler’s first season on the Pro Tour has been quite remarkable. He has won 10 senior PDC titles including The Premier League, Grand Slam and World Series Finals.

He has hit four 9 darters this season with 2 of them coming on TV, his most recent being in the Premier League final at the 02 arena against Luke Humphries.

We have to remember he's only 17 and it was sad to see him break down slightly on stage during his post-match interview.

‘The Nuke’ has so much pressure on him and it did show in his opening match, but I expect him to be much more comfortable this evening after getting a game under his belt and because of his clear unbelievable natural ability.

Ian White had a bye in his first round because of the unfortunate withdrawal through medical issues by his opponent Sandro Eric Sosing.

Second round he had a very impressive victory against European Champion Ritchie Edhouse. He won 3-1 with a 88.86 average and although Edhouse was under par, it will still be a big confidence boost for him to get through that match.

He certainly isn't the player he used to be but unfortunately age catches up with everyone, but like he proved against Edhouse, he’s still extremely capable and if he finds his form and gets on top of Littler early then you never know what could happen.

I can't see anything other than a Luke Littler win in this match, hence why he's 1/25 on. He’s just so impressive and whenever he’s under any sort of pressure, he always seems to produce and I expect it to be a very dominant performance from the teenager.

If Ian White stays competitive his average will be naturally dragged up if Littler is on it so I can see plenty of value in White's match average.

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James Hubbard BL style
James Hubbard
Last updated: 28/12/2024

James is a former professional dart player who enjoys writing about darts, golf and football. In 2012, he was crowned the PDC World Youth Champion and these days, he puts his expertise to use with betting tips for BettingLounge readers.