James Hubbard’s Betting Tips for the UK Open (Day 2) Evening Session

Ladbrokes UK Open 2025 day 2 tips
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James Hubbard Published: 01/03/2025

After another very eventful day in Minehead we are now down to our final 16 players for this evening's session. Luke Humphries was supreme in his 5th round match and made a very tricky tie look easy after dispatching Ryan Searle 10-0. That was only the fifth whitewash over 19/21 legs in UK Open history and the first in 9 years.

Luke Littler continued his good form with a 10-4 victory over Jermaine Wattimena, averaging 104.21 with 8 maximums. James Wade's record gets better at the UK Open as he came from 9-7 behind to beat Cameron Menzies and defending champion Dimitri Van den Bergh battled from behind to beat Chris Dobey.

The shock of the tournament so far came this afternoon with world number 59, Robert Owen dumping out Michael van Gerwen 10-8. The Dutchman last won here in 2020 and has now failed to progress past the 5th round in three of the last four years.

Onto tonight, and the way the last 16 draw has come out, this tournament looks wide open. Luke Littler faces a very tricky tie against Krzysztof Ratayski. The Polish Eagle is having a very solid season and looks very close to finding his best form again. Robert Owen's reward for beating MVG is an equally tough tie against the tenacious James Wade.

World Number 1 Luke Humphries will play the ever consistent Ryan Joyce whilst Josh Rock will play Rob Cross in arguably the tie of the sixth round. Other matches tonight will see Martin Schindler vs Jonny Clayton, Damon Heta vs Gian van Veen, Nathan Aspinall vs William O'Connor and reigning Champion Dimitri Van den Bergh will play the resurgent Michael Smith.

James Hubbard's UK Open Day 2 (Evening Session) Betting Tips

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Michael Smith vs Dimitri Van den Bergh

Michael Smith has looked much better in Minehead and will take a lot of confidence from his 5th round victory over Madars Razma. Bully Boy was back to his best in patches during that match and won 10-7 hitting nine 180s and a 164 finish to win. If the Englishman continues to flow like that then he'll take some stopping.

Reigning UK Open Champion Dimitri Van den Bergh came through 10-9 against Chris Dobey in the 5th round but in truth it wasn't the best standard. Dobey could have run away with it early if he didn't miss doubles but the Belgian capitalized well and finished the match with a 12 dart leg in the decider.

I'm still not convinced about Dimitri's form, and if Michael Smith scores like he did against Razma I can see him running away with this. It's a big match for Bully Boy and I think he'll be out to prove his doubters wrong and it wouldn't surprise me to see a vintage Michael Smith performance tonight.

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Damon Heta vs Gian van Veen

  • Gian van Veen over 5.5 180s: 11/10 at Bet365
  • Gian van Veen Most 180s & Win the Match: 9/4 at Bet365

Damon Heta has battled well in this tournament with wins against Kim Huybrechts and Connor Scutt. He hasn't been in the best of form lately and perhaps got away with it a tad after both his opponents were under par. Heta averaged 91.31 and 93.24 in his two wins, which is certainly not bad but he will need a lot more than that tonight to trouble this talented Dutchman.

Gian van Veen is another player who has seemingly gone under the radar on his way to the last 16. He's navigated his way past Nick Kenny and Stephen Burton, averaging 97.12 and 97.26. He has such a high ceiling in his performance levels and proved that at the Grand Slam last year when he beat Stephen Bunting with a 114.71 average.

Gian van Veen has hit 404 180s over the last 12 months at an average of 0.27 per leg. I expect this to be a close match, so there'll be plenty of opportunities for maximums, and with Heta only hitting five 180s in 29 legs so far in this tournament, I think there is plenty of value in my picks. The Dutchman looks the better player right now and I think he comes through this tie and books a place in his first UK Open quarter-final.

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Josh Rock vs Rob Cross

  • Josh Rock to Win: 11/8 at Betway

Josh Rock has certainly started to find his form this season and came through an epic match against Ross Smith in the 5th round. Rocky won 10-9 with a 104.82 average in a contest that saw 19 180s hit between them. The Northern Irishman has now set a personal best run at a UK Open with his previous best being a run to the 5th round last year. It feels like a big season for him and a win here would push him into the world's top 16.

Rob Cross came through a fantastic match with Danny Noppert 10-9, defying 11 maximums from the Dutchman. He averaged 97.57 and held himself well to hold throw and win the decider after being 5-2 up earlier in the match. Cross has had back to back quarter finals at the UK Open and will be looking to make it three in a row with a win here.

Rock has been the better player in this tournament and even though he's the outsider I think he stands a very good chance to progress to the quarter-final. As I said previously, I think this is a big season for him, but the only worry I have is this match is on the main stage. Cross is clearly more experienced on TV but if Rock settles quickly, I think he wins this match.

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Nathan Aspinall vs William O'Connor

  • William O'Connor to Win: 8/5 at Coral

William O'Connor has quietly gone under the radar with some fantastic performances to reach this stage for the third time in his career. He's averaged 98.06, 98.06 and 100.67 in wins against Tom Sykes, Scott Williams and Mensur Suljovic. He's had a very dry spell over the last 18 months but looks back to his best and ready to have another run at the UK Open after reaching the semi-final here in 2022.

Nathan Aspinall has looked much better over the last few weeks and he's starting to get some results. The Asp has taken advantage of quite a soft draw with wins over Martin Lukeman and Jurjen van der Velde with a 95.10 and a 91.73 average. On paper he has another decent draw here but I think he's going to find it tough now O'Connor has seemingly refound his form.

I'm not surprised to see Aspinall as the favourite but I'm a little surprised at O'Connor's price. The Irishman has arguably been one of the players of the tournament and he's no stranger to this stage of the UK Open. If William O'Connor plays like he has done in his previous three matches, I think he gets the win and at this price it's extremely hard to ignore.

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James Hubbard BL style
James Hubbard
Last updated: 01/03/2025

James is a former professional dart player who enjoys writing about darts, golf and football. In 2012, he was crowned the PDC World Youth Champion and these days, he puts his expertise to use with betting tips for BettingLounge readers.

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