It has been almost a week since our last Love Island update, and for good reason. Casa Amor ended, Movie Night happened and the drama was non-stop. Here's a re-cap and the odds.
The Love Island villa is getting quite full at the moment; however, eliminations are expected soon. After Casa Amor, there are 10 couples, so things are certainly expected to change shortly.
Below, you can compare the latest odds for the 2025 edition of Love Island, divided into the top male and top female markets. For what it's worth, the couple market has been reopened, but we're going to miss them for now as they have not been updated in a while.
Top male odds for Love Island 2025, updated as of July 13.
💻 Bookmaker | 🚹 Male Contestant | 📊 Odds | Place Bet |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Tommy Bradley | 11/4 | Back Contestant |
![]() | Dejon Noel Williams | 9/2 | Back Contestant |
![]() | Ty Isherwood | 5/1 | Back Contestant |
Top female odds for Love Island 2025, updated as of July 13.
💻 Bookmaker | 🚺 Female Contestant | 📊 Odds | Place Bet |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Shakira Khan | 2/1 | Back Contestant |
![]() | Lucy Quinn | 3/1 | Back Contestant |
![]() | Megan Moore | 9/2 | Back Contestant |
For those of you who were around for our I'm A Celebrity or Love Island All Stars odd watches and tips, welcome back to Media Watch! If you weren't with us for that, do not worry. This area does what it says on the tin; we take a look at some of the big stories of the past few days in one place to potentially help with any selections.
I have no idea where to start this. It's probably best to go back to Casa Amor, where almost everyone recoupled. There were eight seperate recouplings, as Cosmopolitan writes, whilst Emily and Giorgio were sent home.
All in all, very intriguing, which opened the door for lots more drama.
Following that there were several arguments and conversations to unravel, leaving favourite Shakira Khan to state that Harrison needed to be honest with Toni, after re-coupling, as PrimeTimer writes.
Dejon and Meg made things exclusive, but it was not after a heated argument between the two, and in episodes since, it still hasn't cooled. Cosmopolitan stated that the decision to become the first closed off couple was only after Meg gave him an 'ultimatum' certainly not much strength to it...
Movie Night also had a few talking points, with Cosmopolitan calling it the 'most explosive ever'. Meg and Shakira had a 'showdown', whilst almost every couple had something to discuss, a fiery one, indeed, as Bristol Post recaps.
Then, in tonight's episode, we saw Toni and Harrison go to the terrace, with things left on a cliffhanger. As you would imagine, social media has been a storm of everything, which you would expect. She is not a favourite, and is leaving many feeling slightly torn.
Shakira and Conor discussed the possibility of 'exploring things' which has fans intrigued too. Elsewhere, Meg also seemingly had some second thoughts about Dejon, so perhaps that story is not as complete as it may have seemed...
There is so much more to come, definitely. Such as a dumping, which was hinted at at the end of the show.
Put it this way, things were difficult to call before Casa Amor, with none of the islanders really secure in their couples. With Sunday's episode, things have changed even more, which really adds more difficulty to the situation.
For the first time, we are covering the episode on the same night, as there has been so much to unpack recently. Including a change to the favourites. No longer is Tommy the favourite to win the show, instead, it is Shakira Khan.
The 'Top Female' market is now dominated by the Lancashire favourite, and she is as low as 2/1 to win the show. However, Lucy Quinn follows just behind her, at a price of 3/1. It is not done and dusted, far from it, but she is in a strong position.
For the 'Top Male', Tommy is still in the driving seat. Though, the market and viewers are not yet sure of Lucy, his new partner (?). So his odds have understandably drifted a little bit in the past few days.
Dejon remains the second favourite, whilst Shakira's partner sits third in the market. Again, the market is certainly not as solid as it has been in recent weeks...
It has been a while since I've really assessed the market, and I thought tonight provided me a good chance to.
I have been quite strong with suggestions about Tommy in recent weeks, and it looked like we had a fantastic pick for him and Emily to win at around 30/1. However, the Welsh star was sent home after Casa Amor.
Like the market, I am not 100% sold on his new partner Lucy, so I am going to look away from them for now, I could return to my initial pick.
As I've said for weeks, and throughout this piece too, we have not really got any strong couples in the villa now, so picking winners is near impossible. So, I am almost just throwing names out there - if this is to be followed, I would do so with caution and low stakes.
However, if I had to throw an idea into the mix, I would take a chance on Shakira Khan to be 'Top Female' and Conor Phillips to be 'Top Male'. The two are well-liked by the fans, so I think there could be something, if they give it a chance.
Yes, it is risky making a selection on the first night of the idea being discussed. However, I think Conor should be safe from the elimination, as with Shakira. If they get a chance to explore it, these odds will PLUMMET.
So, I would combine them in a double at 47.8/1 with VBet, which I think is astonishingly priced. Like I say, it is a big risk, but at that price, I'd be willing to have a look.
Again, please stake low, if at all, on this pick. At the moment, it is so difficult to call the winner.
As of July 13 (after the evening's episode), Shakira Khan is the favourite to be the Top Female in Love Island 2025 at 2/1 with BoyleSports.
As of July 13 (after the evening's episode), Tommy Bradley is the favourite to be the Top Male in Love Island 2025 at 11/4 with Bet365.
As of July 13 (after the evening's episode), Ben's bet of interest is for Conor Phillips to be 'Top Male' and Shakira Khan to be 'Top Female' in a double at 47.8/1 with VBet.
Ben is an accredited football journalist who follows anything from League One to Serie A, also working for the likes of SempreMilan and Total Italian Football. As an avid punter, he has become the master tester at BettingLounge, refusing to take bookies by their words when it comes to withdrawal times and much more.