If you would like to read our full preview of the game, and not just the tips, scroll down or use the table of contents above to navigate.
Below, we have picked out five betting tips for the game, listing where you can find the best odds for said bets and why they might be worth a punt.
Whilst we have provided a list of the team news further in the preview, we would advise waiting for the lineups have been announced before placing any bets we have selected.
So far in this tournament, I've had a good streak with corners, and this time, I'm playing this one quite bold, as the odds would suggest. This tournament, both teams have gotten around 7 corners per game, but they have only conceded far less. In fact, Germany only concede 3 corners per game, and Spain even lesser at just under 2 per game.
I was tempted to play this line lower, and whilst you can do so, getting these odds are fantastic and give us a lot of breathing room if they keep up their defensive records, so under 8.5 corners is a nice line in my eyes.
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Min. Deposit | £5 |
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Max. Amount | £20 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 7 days |
In five of Spain's last seven games, they have been winning at Half-Time, and Germany have lost two of their last seven first halves, including one against Switzerland, in the European Championship.
The Spaniard's race out of the starting blocks, and whilst Germany will be a difficult unit to break down, I still think they have a good chance of leading into the break. However, if you would like to play this bet safer, Spain to score first, could be an option, if not Over 0.5 First Half goals.
When we look back on this tournament, especially the Young Player of the Tournament, it will be between this man and Jude Bellingham. Jamal Musiala has been fantastic in recent years, and he is still terrifyingly young.
The heartbeat of Germany's attack, he personifies that engine and elegance that we see from German footballers so often, and with 3 goals from four games, we think he can contribute on Friday night, especially given he makes at least a key pass per game.
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Expiration | 7 days |
Sometimes the best value comes in bets under evens, and this is where I'm starting this set of predictions. Robert Andrich is definitely the 'Terrier' of the midfield, he snaps at heels, and does the dirty tackling work, and Toni Kroos is then the elegant one. Due to this, Andrich will make several tackles in this game I think.
This tournament, he has averaged around 3 tackles per game, and whilst his numbers are not as high for Bayer Leverkusen, his role is largely different so I think him making at least 3 tackles in this game is a good bet.
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Expiration | 30 days |
Bonus Code | R30 |
The player tasked with stopping Jamal Musiala is set to be Marc Cucurella, and I think he provides some fantastic value for a booking. Musiala draws around 2.6 fouls per game, which the left-back could be drawn into, and with a foul per game, this number could be increased against the youngster.
Furthermore, he is also on the same side of the pitch as Robert Andrich who loves a foul as well, so the pair could potentially aggravate one another, and get a booking. Regardless of how it happens, 3/1 is a fantastic price for this, and I like it a lot.
It is almost difficult to predict how this fixture will play out in many respects. You have two teams that are entering new eras after almost a decade of competing at the top level, and whilst there are new intricacies in their styles, they remain largely connected to the styles that brought them the successes previously.
The two top scorers of the tournament versus the two top defences of the tournament. It is exceptionally difficult to call this one, but it will be a fantastic game of football, and one that we cannot wait for.
Two distinctive styles, which could cancel each other out will allow us to see a fantastic spectacle of elite footballing talents, coached by two fantastic managers, and you could argue that whoever wins this game could be the top shout to win the tournament...
There has been a real Spanish revolution, and the young guns in previous tournaments have matured slightly, existing talent has increased, and yet there is still another new sign of young blood.
Before the tournament, a nation like Spain will always be near the top when it comes to betting on the favourites, but many overlooked them in the competition. Perhaps, it may have been down to the ‘strength’ of other teams, but there has been few better teams so far than the Spanish.
In the group stage, they scored five times, without conceding, an astonishing feat in itself and a display of dominance that has rarely been seen in this competition before. Of course, the Spanish have, historically, been a difficult team to beat, and under Luis De La Fuente, this has returned.
Maybe they are not the best attacking outfit in the world, and you can argue with a ‘better’ striker they would unlock a new deadliness, but they still are fired by their two young wingers Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, who have both continued their excellent seasons in Spain into the competition.
Would it be a Spanish side without a fantastic midfield three, not only in terms of quality, but composition as well. Rodri is the best midfielder, maybe even player, in world football, and he is given a perfect role playing alongside Fabian Ruiz and Pedri, who has continued his impressive rise, whilst still only 21-years-old, something which may have been forgotten due to a certain other Barcelona midfielder.
They are still yet to concede to an opposition player, and they are without one of the most convicting teams in the tournament, but whether they can continue that dominance in the next fixture against Germany is yet to be seen.
If you are looking to side with the Spanish in this quarter-final tie, you can do so at odds of, or near 7/4 with most bookies.
Possible Spain XI vs. Germany (4-2-3-1): Simon; Carvajal, Le Normand, Laporte, Cucurella; Pedri, Rodri, Ruiz; Yamal, Morata, Williams
Without sounding like a broken record, the past few years have been difficult for the German National Team, but again, they’re going through a revolution under Julian Nagelsmann, and he has them playing some fantastic football which matches the German style.
When you think of German football at a club or international level, you see a rigid team, that presses high, and looks to create danger at every opportunity. It’s exciting, it’s quick, and it’s high danger, which is the exact opposite of what the Spanish play.
There is a young blood to the German team, maybe not in the same way as the Spanish, but they are slowly transitioning from a team that have been nailed on for years, and gradually adding new players into the mix.
Manuel Neuer still remains in goal, but his defensive line has changed massively, something that has been needed for years, but has been shied away from for whatever reason. You don’t fix what’s not broken, that is a given, but there has been errors everywhere for Germany, but under Nagelsmann, he has seemingly found his team and system.
The core is still the recognisable faces, Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rudiger, Ilkay Gundogan, led by the engine - Toni Kroos. Perhaps, engine is not the right word for me to use in this instance, at least traditionally. When thinking of an engine, they are the centre point of a team, they do the running, but for the Germans, with German engineering, theirs is classy, elegant, and smarter.
Every game could be Kroos’ last, that is a concrete fact, and he will demand his teammates ensure that each game is not his last.
Scoring 10 goals and conceding twice - only once from an opposition player - is a terrifying feat to achieve, but the Germans have, and powered by a home crowd, they are an incredible team.
If you are looking to back the host Nation on Friday night, you can do so at odds of around 7/4 with most of the best UK football betting sites.
Possible Germany XI vs. Spain (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Kimmich, Tah, Rudiger, Raum; Kroos, Andrich; Musiala, Gundogan, Wirtz; Havertz
Accredited football journalist with a focus on Italian football, working for the likes of SempreMilan and Serie A Total. As an avid punter, I enjoy browsing sportsbooks for the best-value bets.