Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Labour leader after Kier Starmer.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability of each candidate being the next leader of the Labour Party, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Shabana Mahmood | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Andy Burnham | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Ed Miliband | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Lucy Powell | 18/1 | 5.26% |
| Yvette Cooper | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| John Healey | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Darren Jones | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Peter Kyle | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| David Lammy | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Rachel Reeves | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Christian Wakeford | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Emma Hardy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Imogen Walker | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Kanishka Narayan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Kate Green | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Lee Pitcher | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Lisa Nandy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Louise Haigh | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Pat McFadden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Alex Cunningham | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Alex Davies-Jones | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Alex Sobel | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Chris Bryant | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Georgia Gould | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Luke Pollard | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Matthew Pennycock | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Miatta Fahnbulleh | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Sadiq Khan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Sarah Sackman | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Steve Reed | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Tanmanjeet Singh Dhesi | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Torsten Bell | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Tracy Brabin | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Douglas Alexander | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Josh Simons | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Anneliese Dodds | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| James Murray | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Jess Phillips | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Abena Oppong-Asare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Angela Eagle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Barry Gardiner | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Cat Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chi Onwurah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Clive Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Conor McGinn | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Miliband | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dawn Butler | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ellie Reeves | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Emily Thornberry | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Emma Reynolds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Hamish Falconer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Helen Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Hilary Benn | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ian Lavery | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Janet Daby | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jim McMahon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jon Trickett | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Josh Simmons | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Justin Madders | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Martin McCluskey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nadia Whittome | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nia Griffith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Preet Gill | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rosie Duffield | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Champion | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Jones | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Seema Malhotra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stella Creasy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stephanie Peacock | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tulip Siddiq | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Vicky Foxcroft | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Zarah Sultana | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liz Kendall | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Rosie Cooper | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Bella Sankey | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Gary Neville | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| John Bercow | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Kate Osamor | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Laura Pidcock | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Diane Abbott | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| John McDonnell | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Philip Proudfoot | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tony Blair | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Angela Rayner | 45697/1 | 0.00% |
As of 25 December 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Labour leader is Shabana Mahmood, best priced at 7/1 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Shabana Mahmood to be the next Labour leader is 12.50%.

Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis.