Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Labour leader after Kier Starmer.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability of each candidate being the next leader of the Labour Party, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| Wes Streeting | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| Andy Burnham | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Yvette Cooper | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| John Healey | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Lucy Powell | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Lammy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Kanishka Narayan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Pat McFadden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Peter Kyle | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Alex Davies-Jones | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Christian Wakeford | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Darren Jones | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Imogen Walker | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Lee Pitcher | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Lisa Nandy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Louise Haigh | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Luke Pollard | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Miatta Fahnbulleh | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Sadiq Khan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Steve Reed | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Tanmanjeet Singh Dhesi | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Tracy Brabin | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Matthew Pennycock | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Alex Cunningham | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alex Sobel | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Chris Bryant | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| James Murray | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Torsten Bell | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Abena Oppong-Asare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Anneliese Dodds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Cat Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Clive Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Conor McGinn | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Miliband | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Douglas Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ellie Reeves | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Emma Reynolds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Georgia Gould | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Hamish Falconer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Hilary Benn | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ian Murray | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jess Phillips | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jon Trickett | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Josh Simons | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nadia Whittome | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rachel Reeves | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rosie Duffield | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Champion | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Jones | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Sackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Seema Malhotra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stella Creasy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stephanie Peacock | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tulip Siddiq | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Angela Eagle | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Chi Onwurah | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Dawn Butler | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Helen Hayes | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Janet Daby | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Jim McMahon | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Josh Simmons | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Justin Madders | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Martin McCluskey | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Nia Griffith | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Preet Gill | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Vicky Foxcroft | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Barry Gardiner | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Ed Balls | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Emily Thornberry | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Ian Lavery | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Rosie Cooper | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Satvir Kaur | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Bella Sankey | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Gary Neville | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Liz Kendall | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| John McDonnell | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Kate Osamor | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| John Bercow | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Laura Pidcock | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Diane Abbott | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Philip Proudfoot | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tony Blair | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Zarah Sultana | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Ed Miliband | 46066/1 | 0.00% |
As of 15 February 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Labour leader is Angela Rayner, best priced at 5/2 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Angela Rayner to be the next Labour leader is 28.57%.

Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis.