Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Labour leader after Kier Starmer.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability of each candidate being the next leader of the Labour Party, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| Wes Streeting | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Pat McFadden | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Yvette Cooper | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Alistair Carns | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| John Healey | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Lucy Powell | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| David Lammy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Imogen Walker | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Kanishka Narayan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Alex Davies-Jones | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Christian Wakeford | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Darren Jones | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Lee Pitcher | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Lisa Nandy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Louise Haigh | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Peter Kyle | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Sadiq Khan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Steve Reed | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Tanmanjeet Singh Dhesi | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Douglas Alexander | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Alex Cunningham | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alex Sobel | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Chris Bryant | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| James Murray | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Torsten Bell | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Abena Oppong-Asare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Anneliese Dodds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Cat Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Clive Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Conor McGinn | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Jarvis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Miliband | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ellie Reeves | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Emma Reynolds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Georgia Gould | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Hamish Falconer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Hilary Benn | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jess Phillips | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jon Trickett | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Josh Simons | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Pollard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matthew Pennycock | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Miatta Fahnbulleh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nadia Whittome | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rachel Reeves | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rosie Duffield | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Champion | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Jones | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Sackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Seema Malhotra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stella Creasy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stephanie Peacock | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tulip Siddiq | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chi Onwurah | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Dawn Butler | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Helen Hayes | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Janet Daby | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Jim McMahon | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Josh Simmons | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Justin Madders | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Martin McCluskey | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Nia Griffith | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Preet Gill | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Vicky Foxcroft | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Barry Gardiner | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Ed Balls | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Rosie Cooper | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Satvir Kaur | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Angela Eagle | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Bella Sankey | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Emily Thornberry | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Gary Neville | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Ian Lavery | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Liz Kendall | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Kate Osamor | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| John Bercow | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| John McDonnell | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Laura Pidcock | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Diane Abbott | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Philip Proudfoot | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tony Blair | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Zarah Sultana | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Andy Burnham | 46064/1 | 0.00% |
| Ed Miliband | 46068/1 | 0.00% |
As of 26 March 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Labour leader is Angela Rayner, best priced at 5/2 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Angela Rayner to be the next Labour leader is 28.57%.

Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis.