Euro 2024: Spain vs. England Betting Tips
Tip Overview
If you would like to read our full preview of the game and not just the tips, scroll down or use the table of contents above to navigate.
Spain vs. England: Betting Tips Outlined
Ben's Banker
On the biggest stage, the biggest players rise. Given what is at stake for England and Kane, I think this is the game where he finally establishes himself among the best in the world by playing a pivotal role in this final.
Of course, he is already one of the best strikers in the world, and he has been for some time. However, he has not earned the respect that others have due to a certain lack of silverware. Nevertheless, I think he could be hugely influential on Sunday night, and with the Golden Boot in sight, I think the talisman will be a game-changer for the Three Lions against Spain.
Harry Kane to Score or Assist - 17/10 at BetMGM
Both Teams to Get 2+ Bookings - 1/1 at Bet365
It is always difficult to predict finals, especially bookings in them. However, I'm going to give it a go.
In three of the past five European Championship finals, both teams have been given two or more cards, and I think this trend will continue with the 2024 Final. England receive 1.67 cards per game, whereas Spain receive 2.67 cards per game.
On the other side of it, the statistics read just as well, England see three cards per game given against them, and Spain have 2.5 cards against them per game.
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Both Teams to Score - 21/20 at BetVictor
Not to sound like a broken record, but predicting goals in Finals is just as difficult but once again, I'm going to give it a shot.
However, with this pick, I'm going against the trend. In only one of the past five European Championship Finals, both teams scored, which was the last one when a certain English side were present.
I'm predicting it to be the same story in this final. We're looking at two sides who have a good record of both teams scoring - England 67% and Spain 50%. Additionally, both teams have a 100% record of both teams scoring in the knockout stage of the competition so far.
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Under 7.5 Corners - 7/5 at Ladbrokes
For the final time in this tournament, I'm going to the corner market, and once again, I'm looking at the under market.
Throughout the tournament, this market has been the one I've visited on several occasions, and we've had a good share of luck with it - especially when it comes to England. The Three Lions concede two corners per game, whereas Spain concede just under three corners per game.
Of course, there is the worry about both teams' attacking corner statistics - England get around 3.5 per game, whereas Spain get 5.5. However, with it being a Final, I see it being a bit cagier, and I think under 7.5 corners is a good line.
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Harry Kane to Score or Assist - 17/10 at BetMGM
When you think of big game players, few fly to mind like Harry Kane, but it is fair to say that this tournament would not go to the record books for trademark Kane performances.
Off the back of a fantastic Bundesliga season, he has struggled somewhat in the tournament, even if he has three goals - the joint most of any player. However, I think this summer is the time for him to fulfil his destiny.
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Robin Le Normand to be Booked - 7/2 at William Hill
I tried this pick in England's previous game, albeit with a slight alteration, and this time, I'm going to try once again. In five of six England games in this tournament, an opposition central defender has been booked, and I think it becomes six from seven on Sunday night.
The player in my mind is Robin Le Normand, who has committed just over two fouls per game, and after missing La Roja's last game, I think he will come back ready to nip at players' heels.
From England's central players, there are around five fouls drawn per game. Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham draw two fouls per game each, and Phil Foden draws just under one per game.
Therefore, I really like this pick and think 7/2 is fantastic value to see Le Normand get booked.
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Spain vs. England: Preview
This final is strange because you have two teams whose roads to the final have been vastly different. On one hand, you have Spain, who have been dominant and convincing, and then you have England, who have been shaky and questionable.
Nevertheless, the stage is set. Two teams, both entering a new era and will want to kickstart their new era with some silverware on Sunday night. Spain versus England.
Spain - Team News and Key Players
When you think of Spanish football, you think of Sergio Ramos, Iniesta, Xavi, Fernando Torres, Busquets, and Vincente Del Bosque. However, the current crop of La Roja aim to change that, and game by game, they are writing their own names into the history books.
Of course, the names of those before them will never be erased, after all, they are the 'Golden Era' team not only of a generation but arguably International football.
However, now new names are coming through, and they will look to kickstart their own Golden Era. From Rodri to Dani Carvajal, there is heaps of experience among the Spanish lineup, led by the captain and heavily underrated striker Alvaro Morata.
Then, you have the young blood, Nico Williams, Dani Olmo, Pedri, and a certain Lamine Yamal. The squad is compiled perfectly, and it has been composed by Luis de la Fuente perfectly. Experience is matched with raw hunger, and the arrogance, if you can call it that, of younger players is neutralised by the older heads.
Throughout the tournament, Spain have been thoroughly enjoyable to watch, and they have faced several of the 'more difficult' teams on their journey to the final. With one-goal victories against Italy, Germany and France, they have every right to be in the final.
It is not unsurprising that they come into the final as the favourites, after all, they have faced a supposedly 'higher' level of competition throughout the tournament than their opponents and have gotten to the final convincingly.
Therefore, if you are looking to bet on the favourites for this fixture, most of the UK's best football bookmakers will offer you odds close to 31/20 for La Roja to win the game. However, if you would like to back them to win the trophy, rather than betting on a result in 90 minutes, you can get odds of 8/11.
Possible Spain lineup vs. England (4-3-3): Simon; Carvajal, Le Normand, Laporte, Cucurella; Olmo, Rodri, Fabian Ruiz; Yamal, Morata, Williams
England - Team News and Key Players
After the group stages, if you asked England fans if they were expecting to be playing on Sunday night, you likely would have been laughed away. Nevertheless, here we are, and it is tremendously English to be in this position.
As I said in the last preview, it is a nation of pessimists, and with each passing fixture, it's more a dread of what's to come rather than a hope. In fairness, I suppose that is what 58 (yes, fifty-eight) years of hurt does to a Nation.
On Sunday, though, that hurt could pass. After Wednesday's win, there is a rising feeling of hope across the nation. From 'No chance', to 'Some chance'. From 'We couldn't', to 'We might'.
Whether that's due to Jude Bellingham's overhead kick against Slovakia, Saka's penalty against Switzerland or Ollie Watkins' delightful dagger to Dutch hearts. Regardless of how that hope arose, it now exists, even if this tournament has been painful in some respects.
Unlike their opponents, England have not looked convincing in any, or many, games. The Three Lions have not won a game by two or more goals and have never looked like they would, but I suppose that's what makes it so England.
Would the Three Lions ever make it easy? Probably not. However, you could argue there's a sort of beauty to that - at least on reflection, it is unbelievably painful to experience at times, as we all know.
In recent years, there have been questions about an 'English arrogance', an expectation that the Three Lions would do well, and that has, perhaps, faded during this tournament, but what a way to end a story Sunday could be.
We're likely looking at Gareth Southgate's last international fixture and what a way it would be to end it.
It seems like a story too good to be written by the best writers. A destiny, set in course at Euro '96, with its ending in sight once again. Southgate's destiny is not the only one I'm looking at. I'm looking to Harry Kane, Southgate's captain, whose destiny seemingly aligns with his manager.
Haunted by one thing they have come so close to, yet have remained on the edge of glory for so long.
Destiny, fate, whatever you would like to call it. Once again, it is in touching distance for England, and maybe, just maybe, Football could Come Home on Sunday night.
For the first time in this tournament, England come into this fixture as the 'Underdogs', and maybe the 'lessened' pressure could help. If you want to back the Three Lions, you can do so to win in 90 minutes at odds of 13/5 with most UK bookies. For them to lift the trophy, England are priced above Evens, with the best odds at 11/10.
Possible England lineup vs. Spain (3-4-2-1): Pickford; Walker, Stones, Guehi; Saka, Rice, Mainoo, Shaw; Foden, Bellingham; Kane
Accredited football journalist with a focus on Italian football, working for the likes of SempreMilan and Serie A Total. As an avid punter, I enjoy browsing sportsbooks for the best-value bets.