With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from Serie A, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Frosinone | 11/10 | 47.62% |
Udinese | 9/4 | 30.77% |
Empoli | 13/4 | 23.53% |
Cagliari | 8/1 | 11.11% |
Lecce | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Monza | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
As of 28 April 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from Serie A is Frosinone , best priced at 11/10 with BetMGM.
The odds mean that the probability for Frosinone to be relegated is 47.62%.
The bottom three teams in Serie A at the end of the season are relegated to Serie B, replaced by the top two teams and the play-off winner of the second tier. Serie A recently changed the rules for tiebreakers as well, which apply to both the relegation and title fight. If two teams finish on the same points, it will be decided by a one-off clash instead of going by goal difference or head-to-head.
This actually happened in the 2022/23 season of Serie A, when Hellas Verona and Spezia finished on the same points. The do-or-die clash took place at neutral ground, more specifically at Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium, and Verona prevailed 3-1 after four goals in the first half. The Bentegodi side thus escaped relegation, while Spezia failed to do so.