With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from the Bundesliga, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Cologne | 1/33 | 97.06% |
Mainz | 9/4 | 30.77% |
Bochum | 3/1 | 25.00% |
Union Berlin | 14/1 | 6.67% |
Borussia Mgladbach | 250/1 | 0.40% |
As of 8 May 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from the Bundesliga is Cologne, best priced at 1/33 with bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Cologne to be relegated is 97.06%.
The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga - at the end of the season - are immediately relegated while two teams from 2. Bundesliga are promoted. The third and final relegation, as well as promotion, is decided by a two-legged play-off game. Along with Ligue 1, the Bundesliga is the only one of the top five leagues to have such a system, with the others having three immediate-relegation spots.
This means that even if a team finishes the season in 16th place, with the Bundesliga being an 18-team league instead of 20, the team in question could still play in the top flight for next season. Stuttgart won the play-off against Hamburg in 2022/23, keeping their spot in the first flight, and now look set to clinch a Champions League spot for next season. A true sliding doors moment, showcasing the importance of the play-off.
Isak is an experienced content writer with a background in sports journalism. Having focused mainly on football in the past, he certainly knows a thing or two about the betting industry. At BettingLounge, Isak makes sure that all of the content is up to date, specialising in reviews of UK betting sites.