Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Rishi Sunak.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
Candidates | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Kemi Badenoch | 7/2 | 22.22% |
Penny Mordaunt | 4/1 | 20.00% |
Suella Braverman | 7/1 | 12.50% |
James Cleverly | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Robert Jenrick | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Priti Patel | 14/1 | 6.67% |
David Cameron | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Nigel Farage | 20/1 | 4.76% |
Boris Johnson | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Gillian Keegan | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Steve Barclay | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Tom Tugendhat | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Oliver Dowden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Adam Afraiyie | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Brandon Lewis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Claire Coutinho | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
David Frost | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Dehenna Davison | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Grant Shapps | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Jeremy Hunt | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Johnny Mercer | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Mark Harper | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Michael Gove | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Michelle Donelan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Ranil Jayawardena | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Steve Baker | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Tobias Ellwood | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Liz Truss | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Andrea Jenkins | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Andrea Jenkyns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Andy Street | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Anne-Marie Trevelyan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ben Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ben Houchen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Bim Afolami | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Damian Hinds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
David Davis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Gavin Williamson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Graham Brady | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Greg Hands | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Helen Whately | 100/1 | 0.99% |
lain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jacob Rees-Mogg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Laura Trott | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Liam Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mark Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Miriam Cates | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Nadhim Zahawi | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Philip Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Robert Buckland | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Sajid Javid | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Simon Clarke | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Theresa May | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Theresa Villiers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Therese Coffey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
William Hague | 100/1 | 0.99% |
William Wragg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jake Berry | 125/1 | 0.79% |
Andy Bridgen | 150/1 | 0.66% |
John Glen | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Aaron Bell | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Alicia Kearns | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Alok Sharma | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Andrea Leadsom | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Andrew Bridgen | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Ben Wallace | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Daniel Kawczynski | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Geoffrey Cox | 200/1 | 0.50% |
James Cracknell | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Jonathan Gullis | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Kwasi Kwarteng | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Matt Hancock | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Stephen Crabb | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Bernard Jenkin | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Damian Green | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Damian Greene | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Dominic Raab | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Douglas Ross | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Lee Anderson | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Nadine Dorries | 300/1 | 0.33% |
Chris Grayling | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Mark Francois | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Peter Bone | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Michael Fabricant | 750/1 | 0.13% |
Marc Francois | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
As of 21 May 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is Kemi Badenoch, best priced at 7/2 with Coral.
The odds mean that the probability for Kemi Badenoch to be the next Conservative leader is 22.22%.
Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis. If you have any questions about online gambling in the UK, please don't hesitate to contact him.