AS Roma v Atalanta25/09/2019 19:00
This could be an absolute goal-fest, but the over 2.5 goals and BTTS pick is only priced at 1.61. I believe there is more value in this pick with form and stats looking favourable.
Roma have won their last three games, scoring ten goals in the process while conceding three. They are not always the best in defence, and often feature in a high scoring, end to end games.
Meanwhile, Atalanta plays a wonderfully open, attacking style of football. But, there are certainly not known for keeping clean sheets. They have conceded ten goals in their last four games, and have conceded seven goals in their first three away games.
Considering Roma’s fine scoring form, and Atalanta’s style of play combined with their leaky defence, the hosts should score two or more goals tonight. Also, this fixture tends to produce high scoring matches, with their last two in a row being 3-3 thrillers.
As for the cards, Massimiliano Irrati is in charge of tonight’s action, and boy does he love a card.
In his first game in charge this season, he dished out six yellow cards and has a running average of 4.63 yellow cards in his 104 appearances in the Serie A!
Roma have averaged 2.8 yellow cards per game so far with 14.5 fouls per game. Meanwhile, Atalanta currently averages 2 cards per game while committing around 15 fouls on average.
This game will likely be very open and attacking, which often leads to some “tacticful” fouls to rack some cards up. Combined with a trigger happy ref, this should land quite comfortably.
Steven is the product manager on BettingLounge and enjoys enhancing sporting events through betting for long-term, sustainable profit.