Vitesse v Groningen21/05/2019 19:45
Utrecht v Heracles21/05/2019 17:30
Utrecht won the away leg 2-0, and they come into this match in a strong position to beat a Heracles side that struggle on the road.
Heracles are in bad form, losing six of their last eight games while losing their last three away games.
They have been pretty poor on the road this season, losing ten, drawing three and winning four. Heracles only scored 19 goals while conceding 36 in their 17 away games.
Meanwhile, Utrecht have been strong at home, scoring 30 goals while conceding just 16. Utrecht should take advantage of Heracles poor away form tonight, and I see them getting a fairly comfortable win tonight.
Utrecht average 5.12 corners while conceding 4.88 while Heracles average 5.09 while conceding 5.26. Utrecht should easily get three or more corners in this match.
As for the cards, Heracles have the worst disciplinary record in the Eredivisie this season, averaging 1.88 yellow cards per game. They racked up three yellows in the reverse leg, and I see them getting frustrated in this match tonight.
Vitesse are 2-1 down, but they are a very capable side at home while Groningen have struggled on the road all season.
Vitesse have won 10, drawn 6 and lost just 1 of their 17 home games during the season while scoring 45 goals and conceding 25.
Meanwhile, Groningen have lost 9, drawn 5 and won just 3 of their last 17 away games while only scoring 13 goals and conceding 25.
In fact, Groningen have failed to score in 7 of their last 11 away games.
Vitesse have won their last four home fixtures against Groningen while winning 5-1 in this fixture earlier in the season.
Vitesse have scored two or more goals in 13 of their 17 home games this season while scoring 15 goals in their last four home games.
But, they do tend to concede goals, only keeping one clean sheet at home this season.
However, they might be able to keep out this Groningen side that struggle to score on the road.
Either way, I see good value in Vitesse outscoring Groningen tonight to get the win in this leg.
Steven is the product manager on BettingLounge and is an experienced iGaming writer who has been working in the industry since 2018.