EPL – Matchweek 12 Betting Tips
Norwich vs Watford – Friday 8th Nov, 20:00, Carrow Road
With three winners out of four in matchweek 11, we look to continue our fine tipping form starting in Norwich.
After the first 11 games, this is somewhat of a relegation battle early on, with Watford sitting in 20th on just five points. The Hornets are without a win this season while drawing five and losing six.
Meanwhile, Norwich are just above with seven points, winning two, drawing one and losing eight.
To start, Norwich are best priced at 2.7 to win, the draw is 3.72 and a Watford win is best priced at 2.6 with bet365. There are some tasty prices in the winner market, but I am struggling to call anything with confidence.
However, both teams to score at 1.55 looks like a banker, but the odds are far too short for me. BTTS and over 2.5 goals looks better at 1.83 with bet365 though.
Norwich have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals in all five of their home matches this season. They have conceded a whopping eight goals in their last two home games, and I see good value in Watford scoring a goal or two.
But, the Canaries are still looking dangerous going forward, and they have scored in 10 goals in their first 5 home games. They are yet to get that scoring prowess going on the road, but they are consistent goal scorers at Carrow Road. Also, Watford are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road so far, and I see good value in that trend continuing.
Chelsea vs Crystal Palace – Saturday 9th Nov, 12:30, Stamford Bridge
Who’s backing the early kick-off then? Firstly, Chelsea are priced at 1.36 (terrible value) for the win, the draw is 5.6 and a Palace win is 10.00 with BetVictor!
If anyone believes in the early kick-off curse, Palace at 10.00 must be tempting, or even the double chance at 3.56?!
Palace did little to impress me against Leicester in their last match, but they are a side that travels quite well. They have won 2, draw 1 and lost 2 of their first five away games.
Last season, they also had a very good record on their travels, and they won 7 of their last 10 away games.
I am not going to recommend backing a match result, despite the teasing odds of 3.56 for a Palace double chance.
But, I do see value in both teams scoring in this match at 1.91 with Betfred. As I mentioned earlier, Palace performs well on their travels, and they have scored four goals in their last two away games.
Meanwhile, Chelsea are coming into this match after a thrilling 4-4 draw with Ajax on Tuesday and lost 2-1 against United in the Cup before that. They have scored in all but their first game of the season, and I struggle to see Palace keeping them out in this one.
But, I am still not convinced with Chelsea’s defence. Yes, they have improved, with two clean sheets in their last two PL games, but they are still the only two clean sheets in their opening 11 games.
The Blues have seen both teams score in 8 of their opening 11 games. Meanwhile, Palace has seen it land in three of their five away games so far.
It is certainly not a banker, but I do see value in the odds.
Southampton vs Everton – Saturday 9th Nov, 15:00, St Mary’s Stadium
To start, a Southampton win is 3.04, the draw is 3.5 and an Everton win is 2.55.
But, I am not going to look at the conventional markets for this match.
I think there is value in the corner markets, and I have picked two tasty corner bets.
Everton race to five corners at 2.00 with bet365, and Everton over 5.5 corners 2.15 with Betfair.
The away side average 5.80 corners away from home while the Saints manage to least amount of corners in the league at home, with an average of just 3.20. A race to five corners should be fairly easy for Everton in this match.
Also, Everton average of 3.00 corners in the first half away from home, which is the joint best with Bournemouth. Meanwhile, Southampton manages just an average of 1.60 corners in the first half.
All the stats point to Everton getting to five corners first, and I see great value in the price at evens (could be higher on other bookies).
As for the over 5.5 corners, Everton manage just under 6 away from home, while seeing six or more corners in 3 of their first 5 away games.
Also, Southampton concedes an average of 5.60 corners at home. It will likely be close, but I see value in the pick at 2.15 with Betfair.