3pm Premier League Betting Tips
Cardiff v West Ham
Referee: Graham Scott
Cardiff are struggling at a terrible time in the season, losing their last three games while scoring just one goal and conceding ten.
Conversely, West Ham are in good form, with two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five games. Their one loss isn’t too much to worry about, losing just 1-0 at the Etihad to Man City.
But, West Ham’s recent form on the road is a concern. They have lost four of their last five away games while drawing one and scoring only one goal.
Can Cardiff take advantage of this poor away form, or will they fall to another defeat at home?
Cardiff are without Sol Bamba for the rest of the season, after rupturing his ACL knee ligaments.
This is good news for Mark Arnautovic, as he relishes playing promoted sides, scoring five and assisting five in his last 11 games against promoted sides.
West Ham should have enough quality to get a result in this match, but their form on the road is not convincing, and it’s hard to know if they will turn up with them being so inconsistent this season.
Firstly, Cardiff are 13/5 to win, the draw is 5/2 and a West Ham win is 6/5.
West Ham certainly have value, and Cardiff will struggle at the back without Sol Bamba. At 6/5 with Betfair, I would side with West Ham for this one.
But, I do not think this game with have a lot of goals. The Hammers have scored just one goal in their last five away games while Cardiff have scored just three in their last five home games.
Under 2.5 goals is best priced at 10/11 with bet365.
Huddersfield v Bournemouth
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Will Bournemouth finally put a stop to their dreadful nine away game losing streak?! Honestly, I am not so sure. If there was a time to end their terrible away losing streak, this would be it.
But, Huddersfield shocked me in their last home game, beating Wolves 1-0. Are they capable of doing the same tomorrow?
Huddersfield are all but down now, but they will certainly not roll over. And, they will likely see this as a winnable game against a Bournemouth side that has conceded 16 goals in their last five away games.
Although the Terriers are not exactly great going forward, they will fancy themselves against a defence shipping those kinds of numbers.
Callum Wilson is back in the mix for this game though, and it could be a big boost for the Cherries. Wilson has scored six goals in his five games against the Terriers.
The last three meetings between these two at the John Smith’s Stadium has seen 15 goals, with the Terriers winning 5-1, 4-1 and losing 4-0.
Firstly, Huddersfield are 5/2 to win, the draw is 23/10 and a Bournemouth win is 11/8.
Good lord, I have no clue who to pick in this one. Honestly, they are both in terrible form, despite Bournemouth having the better side, their away form is just shocking.
Personally, I am likely to stay away from this match.
But, I do like the look of Callum Wilson scoring on his return at 7/4 with BoyleSports!
Leicester v Fulham
Referee: David Coote
Life for Brendan Rodgers almost started well, but they eventually fell to a 2-1 defeat against Watford, with a 92nd-minute goal from Andre Gray.
Meanwhile, Fulham also fell to a 2-1 defeat under new management, against Chelsea at home.
It is not looking good for Fulham, considering their away form is the worst in the league. Fulham are still the only team yet to win a game on the road, but Leicester have lost four of their last five home matches.
However, Fulham will do well to keep Leicester out in this match, having conceded two or more goals in their last five away games, all while boasting the worst defensive stats in the league.
Fulham are conceding an average of 2.24 goals a match, to a shocking total of 65 goals, 8 more than the second-worst defensive stats from Cardiff City.
Leicester are certainly struggling for form, but Rodgers has a very capable team, and he should be able to get something out of them in this game.
Firstly, Leicester are 8/13 to win, the draw is 7/2 and a Fulham win is 5/1.
Leicester are a tad too short for me to appreciate those odds.
But, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is best priced at 23/20 with BoyleSports, and I do see value in those odds.
The Foxes have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals in their last four games while Fulham have seen it land in three of their last six away games.
Newcastle v Everton
Referee: Lee Mason
Newcastle have won their last four home games while scoring two or more goals in each win, even keeping three clean sheets. While Everton are looking to build on their Derby draw against Liverpool in their last match.
Everton have a great head to head record against Newcastle, only losing just one of their last 12 Premier League meetings. But, they did draw the reverse fixture 1-1 in December last year.
I have been impressed with Newcastle at times this season, whereas Everton have certainly been underwhelming with their splurge on transfers.
I think Miguel Almiron could have a big impact on this game, he is creating three chances per 90 minutes on average, more than any other Newcastle player.
Everton are a bit hit and miss at the moment, with their only real successes coming against relegation favourites in Huddersfield and Cardiff.
Of course, a draw against Liverpool is also a positive result, but it was a pretty shocking game, in which Liverpool had chances to win if they were more clinical.
Firstly, a Newcastle win is 15/8, the draw is 9/4 and an Everton win is 9/5.
I certainly won’t look past Newcastle at 15/8, considering they have won their last four home games, beating Man City, Burnley, Cardiff, and Huddersfield.
All while keeping three clean sheets and conceding just one goal.
In fact, I see good value in Newcastle at 15/8 with BetVictor, and I think they can get a low scoring win in this match.
I also like the look of Newcastle to win and under 3.5 goals which is best priced at 23/10 with Betway if you fancy better odds!
Southampton v Tottenham
Referee: Kevin Friend
Spurs are now pretty much out of the title race, but they are through in the Champions League, and they will want to continue their push for a top-four finish.
However, they will be in for a tough game against a Southampton scrapping for survival down the bottom.
I was really impressed with the Saints in their performance against United, their high press really did leave United shocked in the first half.
If Southampton employs similar high-intensity tactics against Spurs, they could see some success this time around.
Spurs will have a bit of fatigue from their CL exploits, and their squad size could be a factor for this match. Still, they should have enough time to prepare and recover for this match after playing on Tuesday night.
Southampton have been consistently scoring at home under Hasenhuttl, netting in their last nine home games in a row. But, they have also conceded in eight of those nine games.
Similarly, Spurs are consistent scorers on the road, netting in all but one of their away matches this season, and I struggle to see the Saints keeping them out tomorrow.
But, Spurs have conceded five goals in their last three away games, and I do see them conceding again with the Saints so consistent when it comes to scoring at home.
Firstly, Southampton are 15/4 to win, the draw is 29/10 and a Spurs win is 17/20.
To start, I see good value in both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, which is best priced at 23/20 with William Hill.
But, I think Spurs will come out on top, and a BTTS match result Spurs is best priced at 13/5 with bet365!
On that note, Harry Kane has scored in his last four PL games against the Saints, scoring six goals and a goal in each of his last three visits to St Mary’s.
Kane to score and Spurs win, is best priced at 7/4 at William Hill for another option!