Wednesday’s Premier League Tips
Arsenal v Bournemouth
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Arsenal go into this match as strong favourites, against a Bournemouth side that really do struggle on the road. The Gunners have won four of their last five Premier League games, losing to Man City 3-1 in the other.
Arsenal have been very strong at the Emirates this season, and this is not good news for a Bournemouth side that has lost their last eight away games in a row!
The Gunners have won their last seven home matches in a row, only losing once (first home game against Man City) all season. They have scored two or more goals in ten home matches this season while managing to keep five clean sheets.
This is much better than their away defensive record, in which they are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road in the Premier League.
Meanwhile, Bournemouth have scored just one goal in their last five away matches, failing to score in four of those games. In fact, they have failed to score in seven away matches this season, and they may struggle again tonight.
The Cherries are without key players in Steve Cook, Callum Wilson and David Brooks. But, Arsenal are also missing players in Iwobi, Lichtsteiner (for the best), Bellerin, Welbeck (surprising…) and Rob Holding.
Firstly, Arsenal are 4/9 to win, the draw is 17/4 and a Bournemouth win is 7/1.
Is there potential for a midweek shock tonight? Honestly, it would be a big shock, but then again, Arsenal are capable of this.
However, their form shows little worries for this game, and their solid home record gives good value to the Arsenal win.
The 4/9 price is a little bit short, but I do see good value in Arsenal to win to nil at 15/8 with 888Sport.
The Gunners should manage to score at least two goals tonight, as they have in so many home matches this season.
But, I also think they are capable of keeping a clean sheet against Bournemouth side that are quite toothless on the road.
I know, the Gunners are not exactly known for keeping clean sheets, but they have kept two clean sheets in a row while Bournemouth have scored just one goal in their last five away games.
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— BettingLounge Tips (@BetLoungeTips) February 26, 2019
Southampton v Fulham
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Can Fulham finally win an away match this season after failing to do so in their first 14 attempts? Well, they are playing a Southampton side that has lost their last two games, but Fulham’s form is not any better.
The Saints have been struggling at home in recent games, losing three, drawing one and winning one. But, they face a Fulham side that has lost their last four away matches in a row while losing 12 and drawing 2 this season overall.
Southampton have been consistent scorers under Ralph Hasenhüttl, but they have also been leaking goals. The Saints have seen both teams score in five of their last six games while only failing to score in their last away match at the Emirates.
They have scored in their last eight home games in a row, and I struggle to see the worst defence in the league keeping them out.
Meanwhile, Fulham have been conceding goals for fun at the moment, letting in 12 goals in their last five games. Also, conceding 11 goals in their last four away games.
The Saints are not exactly prolific scorers, but they will fancy themselves in this game tonight.
Firstly, Southampton are 19/20 to win, the draw is 27/10 and a Fulham win is 17/5.
I do like the Saints at 19/20, but they are not exactly breeding confidence with their recent performances.
To start, I like both teams to score at 3/4 with bet365. As I said, Southampton are scoring consistently at home, but they are also leaking goals. Fulham will need to attack in this game to try and force a result in this match.
Draws are simply not good enough, but both teams need three points really. I am seeing a fairly open game, full of opportunities tonight.
On that note, I like the look of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 6/5 with BoyleSports.
But, I think Southampton will get the better of Fulham’s dismal defence. A BTTS match result Southampton is best priced at 14/5 with BoyleSports once again!
Chelsea v Tottenham
Referee: Andre Marriner
What a cracker of a game we have on TV tonight! I am always a big fan of this fixture, it’s often feisty and usually entertaining. Chelsea have an excellent record against Spurs at Stamford Bridge, losing just one of their last 32 home games (W20 D11).
Now, the big question, which starting eleven will Kepa field for this match? Chelsea are fresh and have no injury concerns, but for such a big game, he will have to get the lineup right. Certainly big pressure on the shoulders of the inexperienced young man.
On the note of Chelsea’s fantastic record against Spurs at Stamford Bridge, they have lost three of their last four Premier League meetings against Chelsea, including that one 3-1 loss at the Bridge last season.
Is this a sign of change for the once great home record against Spurs, or merely an outlier? On the form, Spurs look like they could get another result at the Bridge this year.
Chelsea have won just two of their last five games while losing the other three. But, all three losses came on the road, and both wins came at home.
Still, even with their inconsistent season, Chelsea remains very solid at the Bridge. The Blues have lost just one game at home this season, winning eight and drawing four.
Meanwhile, Spurs have won four of their last five games, but they did lose to Burnley on the road last time out. A little early kick-off shock to dent their confidence just in time for this match!
Firstly, Chelsea are 13/10, the draw is 5/2 and a Spurs win is 12/5.
I hate bottling picks with a draw, but I do see value in that result.
Chelsea have ground out draws in a number of matches against tough opponents, drawing 0-0 to Man City in their last game. While drawing to Everton, Man United, Liverpool and Southampton at home this season.
Although, Spurs are somehow yet to draw a game in the league this season!! Surely, that will end before the season finishes? The draw is best priced at 5/2 with bet365!
Asides from that, I will likely just enjoy the game with a little Betbuilder on bet365. Might throw in a few cards to make it fun.
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— BettingLounge Tips (@BetLoungeTips) February 26, 2019
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Crystal Palace v Man United
Referee: Martin Atkinson
With potentially nine first-team players out for United, how is this match going to go, and who will be in the lineup? Herrera, Mata, Lingard, Rashford, Martial, Matic, Jones to name a few, will likely not be available for this match.
But, United still have some pretty decent depth in their squad. They will need the likes of Pogba, Lukaku and Sanchez to step up in this game, but they are lacking a significant threat with so many out.
Meanwhile, Crystal Palace are in fine form at the moment as they are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games, winning two and drawing two.
Their last match against a big team ended 4-3 in their thriller against Liverpool at Anfield.
And, they have certainly shown their ability to go up against the “top” teams in the league, beating Man City, drawing with United at Old Trafford and drawing against Arsenal.
United are unbeaten in their last ten Premier League games, but I do see them struggling in this match. Unless their capable stars actually perform tonight, they might be rather toothless up front.
Still, United have won their last five away matches in a row while keeping clean sheets in their last four.
Firstly, Palace are 5/2 to win, the draw is 12/5 and a United win is 13/10.
Man, the United win at 13/10 is tempting, but I do worry about their threat going forward with the injury issues.
I think this game will end in a stalemate, and the draw looks like good value at 12/5 with Betfair. Both teams are fairly solid at the back, and I think United will grind out a hard-fought draw tonight as they struggle with missing players.
Again, I think it will be a tight game, with few goals, so under 2.5 goals at 5/6 looks like good value to me. Palace have seen under 2.5 goals in 11 home games this season, and I see it landing again tonight.
Liverpool v Watford
Referee: Graham Scott
Liverpool have drawn four of their last five games, can they get three points against a Watford side that have lost just one of their last eight games?
Well, the Reds have a solid record against Watford, winning five and drawing one of their last six meetings while scoring 20 goals and keeping 4 clean sheets in the process.
In fact, Liverpool have scored 11 goals in their last two home matches against the Hornets, winning 6-1 and 5-0.
But, Watford coming into this game after five goals themselves against Cardiff in a 5-1 away victory. This is certainly a big test for the Reds and one that I think they will pass.
Liverpool have scored 17 goals in their last five Premier League games at Anfield while conceding five.
But, Watford will be a threat, scoring in six of their last seven away games to a total of 15 goals. However, they have failed to make an impact against the “top” teams in the league this season.
Losing to Spurs, Chelsea, Man City, Liverpool (3-0 reverse fixture), Arsenal and Man United.
Firstly, Liverpool are 3/10 to win, the draw is 5/1 and a Watford win is 12/1.
I can’t say there is value in the Liverpool win, but I do fancy both teams getting on the scoresheet tonight.
BTTS is best priced at evens with bet365. Watford are in fine scoring form, and I see them getting a goal against this nervous looking Liverpool side.
The Reds do have the best defence in the league, but I see the pressure seeping into this game, yet I do think they will win.
A BTTS Liverpool win is best priced at 39/20 with 888Sport!
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— BettingLounge Tips (@BetLoungeTips) February 27, 2019
Man City v West Ham
Referee: Stuart Attwell
Will this be a fairly routine win for City at the Etihad? Or will key injuries cause an issue in this game? Man City are looking to be without Fernandinho, Laporte, Jesus, Stones and Mendy.
Some key defensive players look set to be out for this match, but City could simply outscore West Ham to victory.
City are prolific scorers at the Etihad, putting at least two past their opponents in each of their last 15 home games, winning 14 and losing just one. I mean, it is pretty hard to look past a team boasting those stats!
However, West Ham have hit a bit of form, and they might be a tough team to beat tonight. The Hammers are unbeaten in their last three games, drawing two and winning one.
But, they have conceded a goal in each match, and I see City taking advantage of their defensive vulnerabilities.
Sergio Aguero has scored consecutive hat-tricks at home, scoring three goals against Arsenal and Chelsea in their last two games at the Etihad.
He has now scored 25 goals in his last 16 starts at the Etihad and will be a key danger man tonight.
Firstly, Man City are 1/6 to win, the draw is 8/1 and a West Ham win is 20/1.
For obvious reasons, I do not see much value in the win markets (unless you think a midweek shock could occur, you crazy person, you).
But, I do see value in BTTS and City win at 8/5 with Betway. City could be vulnerable without some key defensive players tonight, and West Ham have nothing to lose for going at City in this game (if they can).
City have seen both teams score in nine home matches this season, and I do see good value in it landing again tonight.