Premier League Previews and Tips (29/01/19)
Arsenal v Cardiff City – Tues 29th, 19:45, Emirates Stadium
Referee: Mike Dean
Could we be in for a midweek shock at the Emirates as Arsenal host Cardiff? It is hard to see anything but an Arsenal win, to be honest. Firstly, Arsenal are solid at the Emirates with just one loss in the Premier League this season (Man City 2-0) while winning their last five home matches in a row.
Arsenal beat Chelsea (2-0) in their last Premier League home match while scoring 14 goals in their last five home, and matches conceding just four.
Meanwhile, Cardiff have had a pretty rough time on their travels, but they got positive results in recent matches. They picked up a win against Leicester and a draw against Crystal Palace. However, asides from that Cardiff have lost eight while drawing with Huddersfield earlier in the season.
Arsenal won in their last meeting 3-2 at the Cardiff City Stadium, but I struggle to see it being that close this time around. Yes, Arsenal have got clear defensive vulnerabilities, but I am not convinced with Cardiff’s attacking threat.
Firstly, Arsenal are 1/4 to win, the draw is 11/2 and a Cardiff win is 12/1 with BetVictor.
There is not a lot of value in the win market for this game, with the bookies favouring Arsenal for good reason. For Arsenal to score over 2.5 goals it is best priced at 11/10. Again, not a lot of value, unless you feel like Arsenal will smash Cardiff this Tuesday.
The Gunners managed to keep a clean sheet against Chelsea in their last home victory, but will they manager another this Tuesday? Cardiff have not scored a goal in their last three Premier League games as they continue to struggle in the final third.
But, I feel like they could get a goal against this poor Arsenal defence. Still, I think Arsenal will come out on top. BTTS match result Arsenal is best priced at 9/5 with Betway.
I feel like Cardiff could hold out for the first half of the game, with most of the team likely back behind the ball. Arsenal have been starting slowly in most of their first-half games this season, and I can see that trend continuing tomorrow night.
The 2nd half to be the highest scoring half is best priced at 21/20 with Betway!
Fulham v Brighton – Tues 29th, 19:45, Craven Cottage
Referee: Lee Probert
Can Fulham avoid a fourth successive Premier League defeat as they host Brighton? The Seagulls have lost their last two Premier League matches in a row, but they were losses to Liverpool and Manchester United.
Meanwhile, Fulham have lost to Arsenal, Burnley and Spurs in their last three matches. But, they may go into this match with the hope of three points against a Brighton team that usually struggles on the road.
The Seagulls have lost three of their last four away matches while drawing one. They have conceded two goals in each of their last three losses while scoring just three goals. Brighton have kept only one clean sheet in their last 13 Premier League fixtures.
Fulham are not exactly prolific scorers at the moment with just one goal in each of their last five matches. In fact, Fulham hasn’t scored more than two goals in the Premier League since 24th November in their 3-2 home win against Southampton.
Glenn Murray has scored five goals in his last four matches against Fulham, but he is yet to score against Fulham on the road.
Firstly, Fulham are 4/1 to win, the draw is 15/4 and a Brighton win is 6/1.
I certainly see value in a Brighton win at 6/1, but this is certainly a tough game to call. Fulham have the worst defence in the league this season, but Brighton are hit and miss on the road. However, the draw is looking good value at 15/4.
For me, either team could win this match, but I do see both teams getting on the scoresheet. Both teams to score is best priced at 19/20 with bet365. Brighton have kept just one clean sheet in their last 13 PL matches.
Also, I struggle to see the leagues worst defence keeping a clean sheet and they have seen BTTS land in their last four matches in a row.
Huddersfield v Everton – Tues 29th, 19:45, John Smith’s Stadium
Referee: Stuart Attwell
Huddersfield have lost nine of their last ten Premier League matches while drawing one (Cardiff 0-0). But, they are up against a struggling Everton side that have lost three of their last five Premier League matches.
Also, Huddersfield welcomes new manager Jan Siewert from Borussia Dortmund’s second team, but will he get a result in his first match in charge? The Terriers have not exactly improved their squad this January, so I will be surprised to see any real difference in their team perfromance.
But, I could be pleasantly surprised as I know nothing about Jan Siewert. He has got a big job on his hands, and we will see if he can save Huddersfield from relegation.
Marco Silva is under a bit of pressure to get a result in this match after their recent disappointments including a 3-2 loss to Millwall in the FA Cup last Saturday. Also, Everton have been struggling on the road this season with four losses in their last five matches away from home.
Everton have dropped down to 11th in the table, and there will be real pressure on Marco Silva if he doesn’t get a result in this match. Everton are unbeaten in their last ten meetings with Huddersfield in all competitions and have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four top-flight meetings.
Firstly, Huddersfield are 10/3 to win, the draw is best priced at 12/5 and an Everton win is 21/20.
Personally, I recommend avoiding this match. I think Everton have been too inconsistent to represent good value, and it’s impossible to judge Huddersfield before seeing their new style under Jan Siewert.
Wolves v West Ham – Tues 29th, 19:45, Molineux Stadium
Referee: David Coote
The FA Cup did not treat either of these two teams well, but who will bounce back in time for this match? Wolves picked up a late 2-2 draw on the road against Shrewsbury with a late 90+3 Doherty goal, saving face for Wolves.
West Ham were hammered on the road against AFC Wimbledon as they lost 4-2 on the night. This result won one lucky Twitter follower a free football shirt in our Goals Giveaway Challenge.
Take a look at the challenge thread below to see how JamieMoore494 won a free football shirt of his choice!
?WIN A FOOTBALL SHIRT OF YOUR CHOICE ?
Aston Villa v Ipswich
Blackburn v Hull
Norwich v Sheffield United
Nott Forest v Wigan
Rotherham v Leeds
Stoke v Preston pic.twitter.com/C0sg8N2FNm
— BettingLounge Tips (@BetLoungeTips) January 25, 2019
The next football shirt goals challenge is live for Tuesday’s Premier League games!
Back to the match preview, Wolves are looking to build of their dramatic 4-3 win against Leicester in their last PL match. Meanwhile, West Ham lost their last match on the road against Bournemouth 2-0.
The Hammers have been a team riddled with inconsistency this season. This is clear in their recent results with two wins, two losses and one draw. Concerningly for West Ham, both of those losses have come on the road without scoring a goal.
Felipe Anderson has been key for West Ham this season, and he has been directly involved in four of West Ham’s last five PL away goals, scoring three and assisting one.
Wolves won the reverse fixture (1-0) at the London Stadium earlier this season with a 90+3 Adama Traore goal stealing all three points for Wolves. Interestingly, no team has scored more 90th-minute goals in the Premier League (four) than Wolves this season, Meanwhile, West Ham have conceded five 90+ minute goals this season.
Firstly, Wolves are 13/10 to win, the draw is 13/5 and a West Ham win is 14/5.
I do actually like the look of Wolves to win at 11/10 with Betfair. West Ham have lost their last three away matches in a row while scoring just two and conceding eight. However, both of these teams are known for their inconsistent results this season.
I am leaning towards Wolves based on their recent performances, compared to West Ham’s recent defeats including that demoralising 4-2 loss against Wimbledon. But, I can see this being a close match with both teams scoring.
Both teams to score is best priced at 4/5 with Paddy Power. On that note, a BTTS match result Wolves is best priced at 16/5 with Betfair. West Ham have been leaking goals in recent matches with six goals in their last two games.
Meanwhile, Wolves have seen both teams score in three of their last four matches including two wins.
Man United v Burnley – Tues 29th, 20:00, Old Trafford
Referee: Jonathan Moss
When will Ole Gunnar’s Man United stop winning? They are getting back to the Man United of old, and it is great to see, to be honest. Being a neutral, I want to see the Premier League at its most competitive, and Man United have to be up there competing for titles.
They have now won eight matches on the bounce in all competitions, inclduing a brilliant 3-1 victory at the Emirates last time out. United have seen both teams score and won in three of their last five Premier League matches, but they could keep a clean sheet in this one.
Burnley have failed to score in their last two matches, including a heavy 5-0 defeat against Man City. They were on a little run a few weeks back, but they are looking a little toothless in recent matches.
They will certainly be in for a tough match in this one, but will get manage to get on the scoresheet? Well, United have conceded in their last five home matches in a row while winning the last four. But, Burnley have only scored in three of their last eight away matches.
Firstly, United are 2/7 to win, the draw is 11/2 and a Burnley win is 13/1!
It is hard to look past this United team right now, but there is no value in the win markets. I struggle to see anything else but a Burnley loss in this match, but it is a matter of how many goals.
Burnley have a terrible record against the “big six”, losing to Man City 5-0 in the Cup and the league, Arsenal 3-1 in the PL, Spurs 1-0, Liverpool 3-1, Chelsea 4-0 and United 2-0 in the reverse fixture.
I see value in a -1 handicap for United which is best priced at 4/5 with 10Bet!
Newcastle v Man City – Tues 29th, 20:00, St. James’ Park
Referee: Paul Tierney
Lastly, Tuesday’s live match on BT Sport is an interesting one, but I only see one outcome, a Man City win. City are unbeaten in their last 22 Premier League matches against Newcastle, winning five of their last six meetings with one draw.
City are once again looking terrifying to play, and they have won their last eight matches in a row in all competitions. They have kept six clean sheets in a row, but the opposition hasn’t been the best, with three of those matches against low division sides in the cup.
Still, they have kept two clean sheets in a row in their last Premier League matches, beating Huddersfield and Wolves 3-0. Meanwhile, Newcastle have lost three of their last five PL matches, winning one and drawing one.
However, the one win came against a struggling Cardiff City in their last home match. Worryingly, the Magpies have failed to score in three of their last five home matches, but they have only conceded seven goals.
City have slipped on the road in recent matches, losing to Leicester (2-1) and Chelsea (2-0) just before the new year. However, they are playing some brilliant football again, and it is hard to see Newcastle causing too many problems.
Newcastle are down as the 19th worst attack in the league, with just 19 goals in 23 games this season. But, they are tough in defence and boast the sixth best defence in the league conceding just 31 goals.
Firstly, Newcastle are 17/1 to win (man those odds!) the draw is 13/2 and a Man City win is 2/9.
Now, those odds are crazy! Newcastle are not a bad team, and they actually perform quite well against top sides. They have been on the receiving end of a number of 2-1 losses (five) against the top six this season, but they have always been close games.
I think City will win, but it should be a close match. I can see Newcastle getting a goal in this match, and I see value in both teams scoring at 23/20 with bet365. On that note, a Man City win and BTTS is best priced at 19/10 with 888sport.
Depending on if Aguero starts, he has scored 14 goals in his last 12 PL appearances against Newcastle. He is 10/11 to score if you fancy it, I would like to see a better price, to be honest, but that one is up to you.