3pm Premier League Kickoffs Tips and Previews
Bournemouth v West Ham – Sat 19th Jan, 15:00, Vitality Stadium
Referee: Simon Hooper
Bournemouth have lost three of their last four Premier League matches while drawing one. They lost 2-0 to Everton last week but their home form is better. The Cherries have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five home matches. But, the two losses came against Arsenal and Liverpool, so not too much to worry about there.
Meanwhile, West Ham have won two, lost two and drawn one of their last five matches. The Hammers beat Arsenal 1-0 last week in the early kick-off game. But, their form on the road is actually better than the home form as of late.
West Ham have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five away matches. However, all of those matches have been played against teams struggling down the bottom of the table. Beating Fulham, Southampton, Newcastle. But, they did lose their last away match against a Burnley side in good form.
This is another tough game to call, but I can see goals. Bournemouth are prolific scorers at home this season, scoring in all but two matches at the Vitality. They have scored two or more goals in seven home matches this season, but they have also conceded in eight matches keeping just three clean sheets.
Similarly, West Ham have scored in six of their last seven away matches while keeping just two clean sheets on the road this season. I struggle to see anything but goals in this match, but I am having a tough time calling a winner here.
Firstly, Bournemouth are 6/4 to win, the draw is 13/5 and a West Ham win is 19/10.
West Ham’s form suggests they could get something from this game, but Bournemouth are strong at home so it could go either way.
Instead, I like the look of both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 5/6 with bet365. West Ham have scored in all 12 of their meetings with the Cherries while their attack is looking more dangerous with each passing game.
Bournemouth’s decline does not look like improving at the moment, but they are capable of scoring a goal or two at the Vitality. Callum Wilson has scored five goals in five PL appearances against West Ham, he is 11/8 to score anytime with bet365.
Liverpool v Crystal Palace – Sat 19th Jan, 15:00, Anfield
Referee: Jonathan Moss
The league leaders are looking to continue their fantastic home record with another win against Palace this Saturday. Liverpool have won their last six matches in a row at Anfield while scoring 12 goals in their last three home matches. They beat Arsenal 5-1, Newcastle 4-0 and Man United 3-1 in their last three home games.
What can Crystal Palace realistically get from this game? Well, after their win at the Etihad, they may believe they can get something from this game. Palace have been inconsistent this season and that shows in their recent matches.
They have won two, lost two and drawn one of their last five matches. But, those two wins came on the road against Wolves and Man City. However, I struggle to see them getting anything from this match with Liverpool looking so strong at Anfield this season.
The pressure is on the Reds, but I do not see them slipping in this match. Although, Palace are a bit of a bogey team against Liverpool with them winning three of their last four PL visits to Anfield.
Palace have lost five of their last eight away matches, but they have improved that record with two wins in their last two. Still, I see Liverpool winning this game as the title race starts to heat up.
Firstly, Liverpool are 1/6 to win, the draw is 6/1 and a Palace win is 17/1.
To be honest, Crystal Palace are a pretty tasty price. Considering they are a bogey team and their form in their two last matches on the road. There could be value in the Palace Double Chance bet which is best priced at 9/2 with bet365.
However, I will probably leave that market alone. Liverpool to win to nil does not have great value, but I can actually see Palace getting a goal here. Yes, Anfield is a fortress in which they have conceded in just three games.
For some reason, I feel Liverpool will be nervy in this game and Palace could certainly take advantage. They have scored eight goals in their last four away matches and I just have a feeling they will score. Both teams to score is best priced at 5/4 with Betway.
Sadio Mane loves playing Palace, and he has scored six PL goals against them (more than any other side). He is best priced at 5/4 to score anytime with BetVictor.
Man United v Brighton – Sat 19th Jan, 15:00, Old Trafford
Referee: Paul Tierney
Manchester United are the most inform team in the league at the moment as they look for their sixth straight Premier League victory. They passed their toughest test under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer with their 1-0 win on the road against Spurs in their last match.
United now come up against a Brighton side that does not travel very well, but they did win the reverse fixture at the Amex earlier in the season. Brighton have lost three of their last five away matches, winning one and drawing one.
But, their overall away record continues in a concerning trend. The Seagulls have lost 7, drawn 2 and won just 2 matches on the road while scoring just 9 goals and conceding 18. I struggle to see anything other than a United win in this match.
Firstly, Man United are 3/10 to win, the draw is 5/1 and a Brighton win is 12/1.
There is little value in any of the win markets, but I do like the goals markets. United have seen both teams score in their last four home matches in a row while winning three of them. I can see a BTTS match result United landing again, which is best priced at 11/5 with 888sport!
I am still not convinced with United’s defence despite keeping a clean sheet against Spurs. Spurs had so many chances, but it was a combination of poor shooting, and a David De Gea masterclass to keep them out.
Newcastle v Cardiff – Sat 19th Jan, 15:00, St. James’ Park
Referee: Stuart Attwell
A big game at the bottom of the table this Saturday, but who will come out on top? Well, Newcastle have a fantastic home record against Cardiff, but they are both struggling this season. Either way, I am not expecting a thriller in this one.
In fact, I would rather not preview this match. But, let’s take a look at their form. Newcastle are winless in their last five matches, losing three and drawing two. Meanwhile, Cardiff have won one, lost two and drawn two of their last five matches.
But, Cardiff have seen an improvement in their away results, winning and drawing their last two matches on the road. Before that, they had lost seven and drawn just one. Has their away form turned just in time for this match?
Newcastle did impress me in their 2-1 loss against Chelsea, but ultimately they deserved to lose the game. If they can be more dangerous in the final third, they will get something from this game. But, they have scored just 7 goals at home this season while conceding 17.
Similarly, Cardiff have scored just 6 goals on the road while conceding 18, but as we said, their away form has improved in their last two matches. So what does this mean? A goal fest obviously.
It is hard to call a winner when you struggle to pick out a key danger man for either team. Well, Newcastle have Rondon, but he isn’t exactly a prolific goalscorer.
Firstly, Newcastle are 15/14 to win, the draw is 12/5 and a Cardiff win is 57/17.
Honestly, I can see this game ending in a 0-0 draw. But, I do not like that pessimistic thinking. Either way, I think this game will end in a draw, and it is best priced at 12/5 with Betfair. Newcastle have only drawn one match at home this season, but it was a 0-0 against fellow relegation rivals Fulham.
On that note, I could see either team nicking this match to a 1-0 scoreline, and I do see value in under 1.5 goals which is best priced at 11/5 with SportNation! Cardiff have seen under 1.5 goals in their last two away matches and I can see a cagey game, with few chances for both.
Southampton v Everton – Sat 19th Jan, 15:00, St. Mary’s Stadium
Referee: Graham Scott
Can Southampton build on their victory over Leicester City last week out, or will Everton build on their 2-0 win against Bournemouth? The Saints held on to all three points brilliantly after going down to ten men in the 45 minute.
Meanwhile, Everton have been strangely inconsistent this season, winning just two and losing three of their last five games. Also, on the road they have lost three, won one and drawn one of their last five matches.
Everton often struggles down on the south coast, and they are without a win in nine attempts having won last in 2015. The Saints have won three of their last six Premier League matches under Ralph Hasenhuttl while failing to score in just one of those matches.
Firstly, Southampton are 7/4 to win, the draw is 12/5 and an Everton win is 7/4.
Bookies are struggling to split these two, and I can certainly agree with them. But, I do see good value in the goals market. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is best priced at 6/5 with BoyleSports!
Everton have kept just one clean sheet on the road this season while conceding five goals in their last four away matches. Meanwhile, the Saints have seen both teams score in their last five home matches in a row.
Watford v Burnley – Sat 19th Jan, 15:00, Vicarage Road
Referee: Michael Oliver
High flying Burnley are looking for their fourth straight Premier League victory, but how will they continue this fine form against a solid Watford team? The Hornets have been all over the place this season, but they have stabilised now, winning three, drawing three and losing one of their last seven PL matches.
Meanwhile, Burnley have seen a big turn in their form with three wins in a row. Before that, they had just four points from 11 Premier League matches as they look destined to make the drop down to the Championship.
They have managed to crawl out of the drop zone, but their away form is still a concern. They have managed just 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses on the road while scoring just 9 goals and conceding a whopping 22.
Although, they will feel boosted by Watford’s poor home form in recent matches. They have lost three, drawn one and won one of their last five home matches. The Hornets have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five home matches as they host an in-form Burnley side.
Burnley have scored two goals in their last three wins while only conceding two goals in the process. They haven’t played high-quality teams, but they did beat West Ham 2-0 at the end of 2018.
Firstly, Watford are 9/13 to win, the draw is 31/10 and a Burnley win is 19/4.
I actually see the most value in the draw at 31/10 with Betfair. Watford have drawn two of their last three matches, but I cannot write off this in-form Burnley side. Watford struggle to keep clean sheets at home, so I can see a btts draw on the cards. That is 9/2 with bet365 if you fancy it.
Without the match result concerned, I still see good value in both teams scoring at 21/20 with BetVictor. Burnley are in fine scoring form but they will likely concede a goal or two on the road.
Both teams have scored in Watford’s last four home matches in a row while Burnley have seen both teams score in four of their last five matches.