Brighton v Liverpool – Match Preview and Betting Tips
Brighton v Liverpool – Sat 12th Jan, 15:00, The Amex Stadium
Referee: Kevin Friend
Can Liverpool bounce back from two, 2-1 defeats in a row? They lost their first Premier League match to Man City 2-1 at the Etihad to start the new year. Then Liverpool lost to Wolves in the third round of the FA Cup on Monday.
Meanwhile, Brighton are unbeaten in their last three Premier League matches, drawing two games and winning one match. In fact, Brighton have been pretty solid at the Amex this season, losing just two games, winning five and drawing three.
Liverpool will certainly have to play their best to get a result here, but I do think they have the ability to bounce back from their previous two matches. Key players were rested in the FA Cup match, which is strange against a Wolves team that was bound to be strong.
Klopp underestimated that tie, which is strange considering his lack of trophies at Liverpool. He will now have to do something in either the Champions League or Premier League, but it is hard to look past Man City with the way they are playing.
This match is crucial to kick for Liverpool, they do not want to go three games without a win in 2019 with City just four points behind. But, Liverpool have a good record against Brighton, they are unbeaten in the top flight while winning the last four Premier League meetings.
Liverpool beat Brighton 5-1 at the Amex last year, and they narrowly won 1-0 at Anfield earlier in the season. Liverpool have been hit with a few injury issues, especially at CB with Lovren, Matip and Gomez out. Also, Van Dijk is currently out with illness, but he should be back for this match. This shortage at the back means Fabinho may start at CB for Liverpool.
Firstly, Brighton are a massive 10/1 to win, the draw is 4/1 and a Liverpool win is 1/4.
Now, these odds are not accurate of the game. There is certainly value in backing a Brighton double chance which is best priced at 3/1. But, Liverpool have the ability to run riot in this match if they play to their potential. Either way, the Reds should not be this short away from home with Brighton’s solid home record.
Liverpool are vulnerable on the road, with 10 of their 15 goals conceding coming away from home. Also, Brighton have scored in every home match this season and they face a Liverpool side that will be forced to start a makeshift CB.
Both teams to score looks likely and is best priced at 3/4. But, you can get better value at BTTS and over 2.5 goals which is best priced at 6/4 with William Hill.
Considering Liverpool are 1/4 to win, there is certainly value in a BTTS match result Liverpool at 11/5 with Betway! Of course, I still think Brighton are capable of getting something from this game, but I struggle to look past this dangerous looking Liverpool team.
As a long shot bet, I like the look of Salah to score anytime and Liverpool win 2-1 which is best priced at 35/1 with BetVictor. Salah has scored twice and assisted two more goals in his three PL appearances against Brighton.