Premier League Weekend Betting Preview – Week 11
With the FA Cup quarter-finals being played this weekend, there are just four Premier League fixtures to take note of, and just one televised match in the UK – Liverpool against Watford.
With top-four rivals Manchester United and Tottenham in action in the cup, the Saturday afternoon match gives The Reds a chance to get themselves back into third, and edge themselves closer to United. They dropped down to fourth following their 2-1 defeat away to the Red Devils last time out, but can move to within two points of second place if they win against The Hornets.
The away side have all but secured their Premier League status for next season, but realistically they won’t be too worried about that. They sit nine points clear of the bottom three with eight games remaining. We’re not expecting them to get anything from this match, however.
Javi Gracia’s side have lost seven of their last eight away league matches and haven’t scored in seven of those games – including the last four. That’s pretty dismal away form, whilst the Merseyside club are imperious at home. Jurgen Klopp’s side are undefeated in their last 17 home matches.
For that reason, a home win is all but guaranteed in this one, so there’s no real value in backing it. They’re at 2/11 with BetFred to take all three points. There’s slightly more value in the goals market, and given the away side’s form on the road, backing a Liverpool win to nil should be a winner at 10/11 with Bet365. You could also show your support to in-form man Sadio Mane – he’s an anytime scorer at 11/10 with BetBright.
There are a couple of perhaps more interesting games this weekend, with relegation battlers facing off. One of those clashes sees Bournemouth take on West Brom.
The Cherries gave a really good account of themselves against Spurs last weekend, and outfought the London club at times, even taking the lead. The 4-1 scoreline certainly didn’t reflect the overall pattern of the game. The Baggies’ lost to the same scoreline against Leicester last weekend, but they were probably more deserving of the rout.
Despite going a goal up too, Alan Pardew’s side collapsed terribly after The Foxes equalised. Their belief seems to have completely waned, and it could be a terribly slippery slope from here until the end of the season. They’ve lost seven matches in a row and are eight points adrift of safety with eight games remaining.
Judging on last weekend’s performances, it seems likely that another defeat is on the cards for the Midlands’ side. Incredibly, they haven’t won a league away match since August and have failed to score in their last three games on the road. The bookies agree that that run looks likely to continue, with odds of a home win at 6/7 with 888Sport.
A more fruitful bet would be on a home win and over 2.5 goals. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Bournemouth‘s last 13 league games, and in five of West Brom‘s last six. A home win and over 2.5 goals can be found at 2/1 with BoyleSports.
Another interesting stat is that The Baggies have been drawing at half time and losing at full time in their last three matches. You can back that to happen again at 19/5 with Unibet.
Huddersfield take on Crystal Palace in the other relegation battle at the weekend. The Terriers are four points clear of safety, but they could be dragged back into the mix with a defeat, whilst Palace occupy the final position in the bottom three.
In terms of form, neither side has been particularly poor, but results haven’t gone their away – especially for The Eagles. They’ve failed to win any of their last seven league matches, losing four on the trot, but that includes one-goal losses to United, Chelsea and Spurs.
One thing the away side haven’t struggled for is goals – they’ve scored in nine of their 10 matches so far in 2018 in all competitions. Huddersfield meanwhile have failed to score in five of their last seven league matches. They say goals win games, but that hasn’t been the case for Roy Hodgson’s side of late – we think it will come Saturday though.
With their next match after the international break against Liverpool, we expect them to really go for it against Huddersfield, and their attacking options – with Wilfried Zaha fit again – should prove too much. Back an away win at 31/20 with BoyleSports.
The final Premier League match of the weekend sees Stoke take on Everton – and if you fancy a flutter on all four games then back a low-scoring draw. The Potters are winless in six matches, but have only lost twice in that period, whilst The Toffees have lost six away league matches in a row.
We still think Sam Allardyce’s men have the quality to take a point home with them, so back a draw at 23/10 with Marathon Bet, or a draw and under 2.5 goals at 11/4 with Betfred.
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